Lens vs Paris FC: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Ligue 1 Insight date · 2026-10-23 2026-10-24 ~ 2026-10-24

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Paris FC lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Lens +0.09, Paris FC +0.59.
  • Points per game over the last five: Lens 1.40, Paris FC 2.00.
  • Attack: Lens xG per match 1.54, 15.2 shots, 3.0 big chances created; Paris FC xG per match 1.77, 15.0 shots, 2.2 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Lens 1.45, Paris FC 1.17; shots on target faced 6.8 vs 6.5, big chances faced 2.8 vs 2.0.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Big chances created per match 3.0 vs 2.2 · Edge 25.0%
Shots per match 15.2 vs 15.0 · Edge 1.6%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Points per game 2.00 vs 1.40 · Edge 30.0%
Big chances faced per match 2.0 vs 2.8 · Edge 27.3%
xGA per match 1.17 vs 1.45 · Edge 19.0%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Lens Metric Paris FC
Results
1.40 Points per game 2.00
1.60 Goals per match 1.80
1.40 Goals conceded per match 1.40
1.43 Expected points per game 1.79
Attack
1.54 xG per match 1.77
15.2 Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data 15.0
8.8 Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data 10.8
3.0 Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data 2.2
53.0% Possession 4 / 4 matches with data 51.8%
4.8 Deep completions per match 11.0
Defence
1.45 xGA per match 1.17
11.5 Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 9.8
6.8 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 6.5
2.8 Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 2.0
6.2 Deep completions allowed per match 4.8
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
23.4 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 29.4

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Lens 5

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Abdallah Sima Injury Expected back late November 2026
  • Ismaëlo Ganiou Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Jhoanner Chávez Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Jonathan Gradit Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
  • Maik Nawrocki Injury Expected back mid May 2027

Paris FC 2

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Jonathan Ikoné Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Nhoa Sangui Injury Expected back early November 2026

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.