Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Ligue 1 Insight date · 2026-10-23 2026-10-25 ~ 2026-10-25

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Paris Saint Germain lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Paris Saint Germain +1.57, Lyon +0.88.
  • Points per game over the last five: Paris Saint Germain 2.40, Lyon 2.00.
  • Attack: Paris Saint Germain xG per match 3.02, 21.8 shots, 5.2 big chances created; Lyon xG per match 1.93, 11.8 shots, 1.8 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Paris Saint Germain 1.45, Lyon 1.05; shots on target faced 6.6 vs 6.0, big chances faced 3.0 vs 1.8.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Big chances created per match 5.2 vs 1.8 · Edge 66.3%
Shots on target per match 14.8 vs 7.0 · Edge 52.7%
Shots per match 21.8 vs 11.8 · Edge 46.1%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Big chances faced per match 1.8 vs 3.0 · Edge 41.7%
xGA per match 1.05 vs 1.45 · Edge 27.7%
Goals conceded per match 0.80 vs 1.00 · Edge 20.0%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Paris Saint Germain Metric Lyon
Results
2.40 Points per game 2.00
2.00 Goals per match 2.00
1.00 Goals conceded per match 0.80
2.28 Expected points per game 1.87
Attack
3.02 xG per match 1.93
21.8 Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data 11.8
14.8 Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data 7.0
5.2 Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data 1.8
66.8% Possession 5 / 4 matches with data 52.0%
13.4 Deep completions per match 8.2
Defence
1.45 xGA per match 1.05
12.0 Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 10.2
6.6 Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 6.0
3.0 Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 1.8
4.4 Deep completions allowed per match 5.8
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
21.8 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 24.8

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Paris Saint Germain 4

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Injury Out for the season
  • Marquinhos Injury Expected return: A few weeks
  • Nuno Mendes Injury Expected return: A few weeks
  • Ousmane Dembélé Injury Expected return: A few weeks

Lyon 4

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Loïs Openda Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Mohamed Ouédraogo Injury Expected back late June 2027
  • Nicolás Tagliafico Injury Expected return: A few weeks
  • Pavel Sulc Injury Expected back in about a week

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.