What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Monza have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Bologna have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Bologna -0.44, Monza +0.38.
- Points per game over the last five: Bologna 1.00, Monza 0.80, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Bologna xG per match 1.53, 11.8 shots, 3.0 big chances created; Monza xG per match 2.00, 16.0 shots, 4.5 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Bologna 1.97, Monza 1.62; shots on target faced 11.2 vs 6.8, big chances faced 3.8 vs 2.0.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Goals conceded per match
1.60
vs 2.20
· Edge 27.3%
Points per game
1.00
vs 0.80
· Edge 20.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Big chances faced per match
2.0
vs 3.8
· Edge 46.7%
Shots on target faced per match
6.8
vs 11.2
· Edge 40.0%
Shots on target per match
10.2
vs 6.8
· Edge 34.1%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Bologna
|
Metric |
Monza
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.00 | Points per game | 0.80 |
| 1.20 | Goals per match | 1.60 |
| 1.60 | Goals conceded per match | 2.20 |
| 1.14 | Expected points per game | 1.67 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.53 | xG per match | 2.00 |
| 11.8 | Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 16.0 |
| 6.8 | Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 10.2 |
| 3.0 | Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 4.5 |
| 45.5% | Possession 4 / 4 matches with data | 50.2% |
| 4.4 | Deep completions per match | 5.8 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.97 | xGA per match | 1.62 |
| 16.2 | Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 10.8 |
| 11.2 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 6.8 |
| 3.8 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 2.0 |
| 10.0 | Deep completions allowed per match | 7.2 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 17.6 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 17.8 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Bologna 3
- Emil Holm Injury Expected back late February 2027
- Riccardo Orsolini Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Roberto Piccoli Injury Expected back early November 2026
Monza 4
- Idrissa Touré Injury Back in training
- Jan Ziólkowski Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Matteo Pessina Injury Doubtful
- Yvan Kouadio Maye Injury Doubtful
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.