Liverpool vs Brighton: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Premier League Insight date · 2026-10-20 2026-10-25 ~ 2026-10-25

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Brighton lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Liverpool +0.25, Brighton +0.99.
  • Points per game over the last five: Liverpool 2.00, Brighton 2.60.
  • Attack: Liverpool xG per match 1.23, 14.0 shots, 1.2 big chances created; Brighton xG per match 2.20, 18.0 shots, 4.0 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Liverpool 0.98, Brighton 1.20; shots on target faced 6.8 vs 6.8, big chances faced 1.4 vs 2.0.
  • Running: Liverpool 111.6 km, Brighton 113.5 km; sprints 128 vs 100.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Big chances faced per match 1.4 vs 2.0 · Edge 30.0%
Sprints per match 128 vs 100 · Edge 22.4%
xGA per match 0.98 vs 1.20 · Edge 18.4%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Goals conceded per match 0.20 vs 0.80 · Edge 75.0%
Big chances created per match 4.0 vs 1.2 · Edge 70.0%
Goals per match 3.20 vs 1.00 · Edge 68.8%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Liverpool Metric Brighton
Results
2.00 Points per game 2.60
1.00 Goals per match 3.20
0.80 Goals conceded per match 0.20
1.54 Expected points per game 2.10
Attack
1.23 xG per match 2.20
14.0 Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data 18.0
9.0 Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data 10.8
1.2 Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data 4.0
52.0% Possession 5 / 4 matches with data 58.0%
7.2 Deep completions per match 4.6
Defence
0.98 xGA per match 1.20
11.6 Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 10.5
6.8 Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 6.8
1.4 Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 2.0
8.4 Deep completions allowed per match 6.8
Running & pressing
111.6 km Distance covered per match (km) 5 / 4 matches with data 113.5 km
128 Sprints per match 5 / 4 matches with data 100
24.8 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 25.8

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Liverpool 5

Snapshot · 2026-10-20

  • Conor Bradley Injury Expected back early January 2027
  • Dominik Szoboszlai Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Giovanni Leoni Injury Expected back late November 2026
  • Hugo Ekitiké Injury Expected back early January 2027
  • Jeremie Frimpong Injury Expected back mid November 2026

Brighton 7

Snapshot · 2026-10-20

  • Evan Ferguson Injury Expected back mid October 2026
  • Femi Azeez Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Kaoru Mitoma Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Mats Wieffer Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Stefanos Tzimas Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Yankuba Minteh Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Zadok Yohanna Injury Expected back late October 2026

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.