Liverpool vs Villarreal: what the data says
What is worth noting before kickoff?
What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Villarreal have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Liverpool have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Liverpool +0.25, Villarreal +1.20.
- Points per game over the last five: Liverpool 2.00, Villarreal 1.40, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Liverpool xG per match 1.23, 14.0 shots, 1.2 big chances created; Villarreal xG per match 2.61, 17.2 shots, 4.0 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Liverpool 0.98, Villarreal 1.40; shots on target faced 6.8 vs 7.0, big chances faced 1.4 vs 2.4.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Big chances faced per match
1.4
vs 2.4
· Edge 41.7%
Points per game
2.00
vs 1.40
· Edge 30.0%
xGA per match
0.98
vs 1.40
· Edge 30.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Big chances created per match
4.0
vs 1.2
· Edge 70.0%
xG per match
2.61
vs 1.23
· Edge 52.9%
Goals per match
1.40
vs 1.00
· Edge 28.6%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Liverpool
|
Metric |
Villarreal
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 2.00 | Points per game | 1.40 |
| 1.00 | Goals per match | 1.40 |
| 0.80 | Goals conceded per match | 1.00 |
| 1.54 | Expected points per game | 1.90 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.23 | xG per match | 2.61 |
| 14.0 | Shots per match | 17.2 |
| 9.0 | Shots on target per match | 11.4 |
| 1.2 | Big chances created per match | 4.0 |
| 52.0% | Possession | 59.8% |
| 7.2 | Deep completions per match | 10.4 |
| Defence | ||
| 0.98 | xGA per match | 1.40 |
| 11.6 | Shots faced per match | 11.0 |
| 6.8 | Shots on target faced per match | 7.0 |
| 1.4 | Big chances faced per match | 2.4 |
| 8.4 | Deep completions allowed per match | 6.8 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| 111.6 km | Distance covered per match (km) 5 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 128 | Sprints per match 5 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 24.8 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 21.6 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Liverpool
No published absences in the latest snapshot.
Villarreal
No published absences in the latest snapshot.
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.