Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence UEFA Champions League Insight date · 2026-10-20 2026-10-20 ~ 2026-10-20

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Barcelona lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Paris Saint Germain +1.57, Barcelona +2.66.
Points per game over the last five: Paris Saint Germain 2.40, Barcelona 3.00.
Attack: Paris Saint Germain xG per match 3.02, 21.8 shots, 5.2 big chances created; Barcelona xG per match 3.92, 20.8 shots, 6.5 big chances created.
Defence: expected goals conceded per match Paris Saint Germain 1.45, Barcelona 1.26; shots on target faced 6.6 vs 5.5, big chances faced 3.0 vs 2.8.

Each team's clearest edge

Head-to-head data

Paris Saint Germain	Metric	Barcelona
Results
2.40	Points per game	3.00
2.00	Goals per match	4.40
1.00	Goals conceded per match	1.40
2.28	Expected points per game	2.51
Attack
3.02	xG per match	3.92
21.8	Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data	20.8
14.8	Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data	13.2
5.2	Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data	6.5
66.8%	Possession 5 / 4 matches with data	74.0%
13.4	Deep completions per match	11.2
Defence
1.45	xGA per match	1.26
12.0	Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data	7.2
6.6	Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data	5.5
3.0	Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data	2.8
4.4	Deep completions allowed per match	3.0
Running & pressing
—	Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data	—
—	Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data	—
21.8	Pressing value (lower is stronger)	24.6

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences