Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence UEFA Champions League Insight date · 2026-10-20 2026-10-20 ~ 2026-10-20

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Atletico Madrid lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Stuttgart +0.08, Atletico Madrid +1.98.
  • Points per game over the last five: Stuttgart 1.20, Atletico Madrid 3.00.
  • Attack: Stuttgart xG per match 2.42, 20.2 shots, 5.2 big chances created; Atletico Madrid xG per match 2.63, 19.8 shots, 4.4 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Stuttgart 2.34, Atletico Madrid 0.65; shots on target faced 9.5 vs 4.6, big chances faced 4.2 vs 0.8.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Big chances created per match 5.2 vs 4.4 · Edge 16.2%
Shots per match 20.2 vs 19.8 · Edge 2.2%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Big chances faced per match 0.8 vs 4.2 · Edge 81.2%
xGA per match 0.65 vs 2.34 · Edge 72.3%
Shots faced per match 7.4 vs 18.8 · Edge 60.5%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Stuttgart Metric Atletico Madrid
Results
1.20 Points per game 3.00
1.40 Goals per match 2.40
1.00 Goals conceded per match 0.40
1.42 Expected points per game 2.52
Attack
2.42 xG per match 2.63
20.2 Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data 19.8
12.2 Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data 13.6
5.2 Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data 4.4
57.2% Possession 4 / 5 matches with data 62.6%
8.2 Deep completions per match 11.8
Defence
2.34 xGA per match 0.65
18.8 Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 7.4
9.5 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 4.6
4.2 Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 0.8
8.2 Deep completions allowed per match 3.4
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
20.8 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 23.4

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Stuttgart

No published absences in the latest snapshot.

Atletico Madrid

No published absences in the latest snapshot.

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.