Deportivo Alaves vs Málaga: what the data says
What is worth noting before kickoff?
What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Deportivo Alaves have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Málaga have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Deportivo Alaves -0.13, Málaga -1.34.
- Points per game over the last five: Deportivo Alaves 0.20, Málaga 0.40, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Deportivo Alaves xG per match 1.16, 14.8 shots, 2.0 big chances created; Málaga xG per match 0.84, 12.0 shots, 0.8 big chances created. Málaga have the better conversion (1.00 vs 0.60).
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Deportivo Alaves 1.29, Málaga 2.17; shots on target faced 9.0 vs 10.6, big chances faced 1.5 vs 3.2.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Big chances created per match
2.0
vs 0.8
· Edge 60.0%
Big chances faced per match
1.5
vs 3.2
· Edge 53.1%
xGA per match
1.29
vs 2.17
· Edge 40.7%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Points per game
0.40
vs 0.20
· Edge 50.0%
Goals per match
1.00
vs 0.60
· Edge 40.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Deportivo Alaves
|
Metric |
Málaga
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 0.20 | Points per game | 0.40 |
| 0.60 | Goals per match | 1.00 |
| 1.40 | Goals conceded per match | 2.20 |
| 1.26 | Expected points per game | 0.65 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.16 | xG per match | 0.84 |
| 14.8 | Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 12.0 |
| 10.0 | Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 6.8 |
| 2.0 | Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 0.8 |
| 42.5% | Possession 4 / 5 matches with data | 50.0% |
| 1.6 | Deep completions per match | 6.2 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.29 | xGA per match | 2.17 |
| 12.2 | Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 16.6 |
| 9.0 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 10.6 |
| 1.5 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 3.2 |
| 6.4 | Deep completions allowed per match | 9.8 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 23.8 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 17.4 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Deportivo Alaves 2
- Facundo Garcés Injury Out for the season
- Mikel Rodríguez Injury Out for the season
Málaga 4
- Aarón Ochoa Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Diego Murillo Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Juan Cruz Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Julen Lobete Injury Out for the season
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.