Valencia vs Villarreal

Valencia vs Villarreal: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence La Liga Insight date · 2026-10-20 2026-10-24 ~ 2026-10-24

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Villarreal lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Valencia -0.09, Villarreal +1.20.
  • Points per game over the last five: Valencia 1.00, Villarreal 1.40.
  • Attack: Valencia xG per match 1.29, 12.2 shots, 2.2 big chances created; Villarreal xG per match 2.61, 17.2 shots, 4.0 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Valencia 1.38, Villarreal 1.40; shots on target faced 9.2 vs 7.0, big chances faced 1.2 vs 2.4.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge

Valencia

Big chances faced per match 1.2 vs 2.4 · Edge 50.0%
xGA per match 1.38 vs 1.40 · Edge 1.6%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge

Villarreal

xG per match 2.61 vs 1.29 · Edge 50.6%
Shots on target per match 11.4 vs 6.0 · Edge 47.4%
Big chances created per match 4.0 vs 2.2 · Edge 45.0%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Valencia Metric Villarreal
Results
1.00 Points per game 1.40
1.00 Goals per match 1.40
1.20 Goals conceded per match 1.00
1.25 Expected points per game 1.90
Attack
1.29 xG per match 2.61
12.2 Shots per match 17.2
6.0 Shots on target per match 11.4
2.2 Big chances created per match 4.0
49.6% Possession 59.8%
5.4 Deep completions per match 10.4
Defence
1.38 xGA per match 1.40
15.8 Shots faced per match 11.0
9.2 Shots on target faced per match 7.0
1.2 Big chances faced per match 2.4
7.2 Deep completions allowed per match 6.8
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
16.4 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 21.6

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Valencia 5

Snapshot · 2026-10-20

  • Diego López Injury Expected back mid February 2027
  • Dimitri Foulquier Injury Back in training
  • José Copete Injury Back in training
  • Sergi Canós Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Umar Sadiq Injury Doubtful

Villarreal 1

Snapshot · 2026-10-20

  • Nicolas Pépé Injury Expected return: Unknown

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.