Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Bundesliga Insight date · 2026-10-20 2026-10-25 ~ 2026-10-25

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Bayer Leverkusen lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Hoffenheim +0.32, Bayer Leverkusen +1.31.
  • Points per game over the last five: Hoffenheim 1.20, Bayer Leverkusen 2.60.
  • Attack: Hoffenheim xG per match 1.98, 18.6 shots, 3.6 big chances created; Bayer Leverkusen xG per match 2.39, 19.4 shots, 3.8 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Hoffenheim 1.66, Bayer Leverkusen 1.08; shots on target faced 8.6 vs 5.8, big chances faced 3.2 vs 1.6.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Shots on target per match 12.6 vs 11.6 · Edge 7.9%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Points per game 2.60 vs 1.20 · Edge 53.8%
Big chances faced per match 1.6 vs 3.2 · Edge 50.0%
Goals conceded per match 1.20 vs 2.20 · Edge 45.5%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Hoffenheim Metric Bayer Leverkusen
Results
1.20 Points per game 2.60
1.80 Goals per match 2.80
2.20 Goals conceded per match 1.20
1.58 Expected points per game 2.16
Attack
1.98 xG per match 2.39
18.6 Shots per match 19.4
12.6 Shots on target per match 11.6
3.6 Big chances created per match 3.8
57.0% Possession 56.0%
14.8 Deep completions per match 12.6
Defence
1.66 xGA per match 1.08
13.0 Shots faced per match 11.8
8.6 Shots on target faced per match 5.8
3.2 Big chances faced per match 1.6
3.4 Deep completions allowed per match 4.4
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
26.4 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 18.8

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Hoffenheim 3

Snapshot · 2026-10-20

  • Albian Hajdari Injury Expected return: A few weeks
  • Nathan De Cat Injury Expected back late November 2026
  • Patrick Wimmer Injury Expected back mid November 2026

Bayer Leverkusen 6

Snapshot · 2026-10-20

  • Christian Kofane Injury Expected return: A few weeks
  • Eliesse Ben Seghir Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
  • Guéla Doué Injury Expected return: A few weeks
  • Kennet Eichhorn Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Martin Terrier Injury Expected back early December 2026
  • Montrell Culbreath Injury Expected back mid October 2026

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.