What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Brest have the stronger underlying attack/defence.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Brest +0.49, Nice -0.09.
- Attack: Brest xG per match 1.88, 14.2 shots, 3.4 big chances created; Nice xG per match 1.30, 10.6 shots, 2.2 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Brest 1.39, Nice 1.39; shots on target faced 8.0 vs 8.0, big chances faced 1.8 vs 2.2.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Big chances created per match
3.4
vs 2.2
· Edge 35.3%
Goals per match
1.80
vs 1.20
· Edge 33.3%
xG per match
1.88
vs 1.30
· Edge 30.5%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Shots faced per match
12.2
vs 14.0
· Edge 12.9%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Brest
|
Metric |
Nice
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.40 | Points per game | 1.40 |
| 1.80 | Goals per match | 1.20 |
| 1.20 | Goals conceded per match | 1.20 |
| 1.54 | Expected points per game | 1.30 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.88 | xG per match | 1.30 |
| 14.2 | Shots per match | 10.6 |
| 7.8 | Shots on target per match | 5.6 |
| 3.4 | Big chances created per match | 2.2 |
| 44.0% | Possession | 53.4% |
| 5.0 | Deep completions per match | 7.4 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.39 | xGA per match | 1.39 |
| 14.0 | Shots faced per match | 12.2 |
| 8.0 | Shots on target faced per match | 8.0 |
| 1.8 | Big chances faced per match | 2.2 |
| 8.4 | Deep completions allowed per match | 6.6 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 21.6 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 19.0 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Brest 3
- Brendan Chardonnet Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
- Giovani Versini Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Raphaël Le Guen Injury Expected back late January 2027
Nice 4
- Ali Abdi Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
- Antoine Mendy Injury Expected back late May 2027
- Laurent Abergel Injury Expected back late April 2027
- Moïse Bombito Injury Expected back early November 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.