What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Toulouse lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Toulouse +0.97, Troyes -0.84.
- Points per game over the last five: Toulouse 1.60, Troyes 0.00.
- Attack: Toulouse xG per match 2.12, 14.5 shots, 2.8 big chances created; Troyes xG per match 1.38, 15.8 shots, 2.2 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Toulouse 1.15, Troyes 2.21; shots on target faced 6.8 vs 9.0, big chances faced 0.8 vs 3.8.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Points per game
1.60
vs 0.00
· Edge 100.0%
Big chances faced per match
0.8
vs 3.8
· Edge 80.0%
Goals per match
2.00
vs 0.60
· Edge 70.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Shots on target per match
8.8
vs 7.8
· Edge 11.4%
Shots per match
15.8
vs 14.5
· Edge 7.9%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Toulouse
|
Metric |
Troyes
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.60 | Points per game | 0.00 |
| 2.00 | Goals per match | 0.60 |
| 1.40 | Goals conceded per match | 3.00 |
| 2.08 | Expected points per game | 0.80 |
| Attack | ||
| 2.12 | xG per match | 1.38 |
| 14.5 | Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 15.8 |
| 7.8 | Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 8.8 |
| 2.8 | Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 2.2 |
| 50.5% | Possession 4 / 4 matches with data | 39.5% |
| 8.0 | Deep completions per match | 6.6 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.15 | xGA per match | 2.21 |
| 11.8 | Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 12.5 |
| 6.8 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 9.0 |
| 0.8 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 3.8 |
| 5.6 | Deep completions allowed per match | 8.6 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 25.8 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 24.4 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Toulouse
No published absences in the latest snapshot.
Troyes 3
- Anis Ouzenadji Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Ismaël Boura Injury Expected return: A few weeks
- Yvann Titi Injury Expected back late October 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.