Monaco vs Lille

Monaco vs Lille: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Ligue 1 Insight date · 2026-10-20 2026-10-25 ~ 2026-10-25

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Lille lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Monaco -0.64, Lille +0.30.
  • Points per game over the last five: Monaco 1.60, Lille 2.00.
  • Attack: Monaco xG per match 0.93, 12.0 shots, 0.8 big chances created; Lille xG per match 1.68, 13.4 shots, 2.8 big chances created. Monaco have the better conversion (1.40 vs 1.20).
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Monaco 1.56, Lille 1.38; shots on target faced 8.2 vs 6.2, big chances faced 2.2 vs 2.0.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge

Monaco

Goals per match 1.40 vs 1.20 · Edge 14.3%
Shots faced per match 13.2 vs 13.4 · Edge 1.1%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge

Lille

Big chances created per match 2.8 vs 0.8 · Edge 73.2%
Goals conceded per match 0.60 vs 1.20 · Edge 50.0%
xG per match 1.68 vs 0.93 · Edge 44.9%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Monaco Metric Lille
Results
1.60 Points per game 2.00
1.40 Goals per match 1.20
1.20 Goals conceded per match 0.60
0.89 Expected points per game 1.68
Attack
0.93 xG per match 1.68
12.0 Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data 13.4
6.5 Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data 8.2
0.8 Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data 2.8
51.0% Possession 4 / 5 matches with data 56.4%
6.4 Deep completions per match 9.2
Defence
1.56 xGA per match 1.38
13.2 Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 13.4
8.2 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 6.2
2.2 Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 2.0
7.0 Deep completions allowed per match 5.6
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
26.2 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 23.2

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Monaco 2

Snapshot · 2026-10-20

  • Eric Dier Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Stanis Idumbo Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks

Lille 4

Snapshot · 2026-10-20

  • Ayase Ueda Injury Expected return: A few weeks
  • Hamza Igamane Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Osame Sahraoui Injury Doubtful
  • Tiago Santos Injury Expected back late June 2027

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.