What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Napoli have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Roma have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Napoli +1.26, Roma +0.86.
- Points per game over the last five: Napoli 1.40, Roma 2.20, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Napoli xG per match 2.56, 18.2 shots, 3.2 big chances created; Roma xG per match 2.15, 19.2 shots, 2.5 big chances created. Roma have the better conversion (1.60 vs 1.40).
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Napoli 1.30, Roma 1.29; shots on target faced 6.2 vs 5.0, big chances faced 1.2 vs 2.0.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Big chances faced per match
1.2
vs 2.0
· Edge 40.0%
Big chances created per match
3.2
vs 2.5
· Edge 21.9%
xG per match
2.56
vs 2.15
· Edge 16.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Goals conceded per match
0.60
vs 1.00
· Edge 40.0%
Points per game
2.20
vs 1.40
· Edge 36.4%
Shots faced per match
10.5
vs 15.4
· Edge 31.8%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Napoli
|
Metric |
Roma
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.40 | Points per game | 2.20 |
| 1.40 | Goals per match | 1.60 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per match | 0.60 |
| 2.20 | Expected points per game | 1.92 |
| Attack | ||
| 2.56 | xG per match | 2.15 |
| 18.2 | Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 19.2 |
| 11.6 | Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 9.8 |
| 3.2 | Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 2.5 |
| 55.0% | Possession 5 / 4 matches with data | 53.5% |
| 9.2 | Deep completions per match | 10.6 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.30 | xGA per match | 1.29 |
| 15.4 | Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 10.5 |
| 6.2 | Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 5.0 |
| 1.2 | Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 2.0 |
| 6.0 | Deep completions allowed per match | 5.4 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 17.2 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 26.4 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Napoli 5
- Alessandro Buongiorno Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Alisson Santos Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Antonio Vergara Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Costantino Favasuli Injury Expected back early November 2026
- David Neres Injury Expected back early November 2026
Roma 4
- Bryan Cristante Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Manu Koné Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Mile Svilar Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Paulo Dybala Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.