Monza vs Napoli: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Serie A Insight date · 2026-10-20 2026-10-28 ~ 2026-10-28

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Napoli lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Monza +0.38, Napoli +1.26.
  • Points per game over the last five: Monza 0.80, Napoli 1.40.
  • Attack: Monza xG per match 2.00, 16.0 shots, 4.5 big chances created; Napoli xG per match 2.56, 18.2 shots, 3.2 big chances created. Monza have the better conversion (1.60 vs 1.40).
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Monza 1.62, Napoli 1.30; shots on target faced 6.8 vs 6.2, big chances faced 2.0 vs 1.2.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Shots faced per match 10.8 vs 15.4 · Edge 30.2%
Big chances created per match 4.5 vs 3.2 · Edge 28.9%
Goals per match 1.60 vs 1.40 · Edge 12.5%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Goals conceded per match 1.00 vs 2.20 · Edge 54.5%
Points per game 1.40 vs 0.80 · Edge 42.9%
Big chances faced per match 1.2 vs 2.0 · Edge 40.0%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Monza Metric Napoli
Results
0.80 Points per game 1.40
1.60 Goals per match 1.40
2.20 Goals conceded per match 1.00
1.67 Expected points per game 2.20
Attack
2.00 xG per match 2.56
16.0 Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data 18.2
10.2 Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data 11.6
4.5 Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data 3.2
50.2% Possession 4 / 5 matches with data 55.0%
5.8 Deep completions per match 9.2
Defence
1.62 xGA per match 1.30
10.8 Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 15.4
6.8 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 6.2
2.0 Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 1.2
7.2 Deep completions allowed per match 6.0
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
17.8 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 17.2

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Monza

No published absences in the latest snapshot.

Napoli

No published absences in the latest snapshot.

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.