Frosinone vs Lecce: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Serie A Insight date · 2026-10-20 2026-10-29 ~ 2026-10-29

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Lecce have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Frosinone have taken more points recently.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Frosinone -0.48, Lecce -0.38.
  • Points per game over the last five: Frosinone 2.00, Lecce 1.20, opposite to the underlying signal.
  • Attack: Frosinone xG per match 1.91, 19.8 shots, 3.0 big chances created; Lecce xG per match 1.64, 11.8 shots, 2.8 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Frosinone 2.38, Lecce 2.01; shots on target faced 11.2 vs 9.6, big chances faced 3.0 vs 3.4.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Shots per match 19.8 vs 11.8 · Edge 40.4%
Points per game 2.00 vs 1.20 · Edge 40.0%
Goals per match 2.00 vs 1.40 · Edge 30.0%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Shots faced per match 14.6 vs 18.4 · Edge 20.7%
xGA per match 2.01 vs 2.38 · Edge 15.5%
Shots on target faced per match 9.6 vs 11.2 · Edge 14.3%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Frosinone Metric Lecce
Results
2.00 Points per game 1.20
2.00 Goals per match 1.40
1.60 Goals conceded per match 1.60
1.16 Expected points per game 0.97
Attack
1.91 xG per match 1.64
19.8 Shots per match 11.8
11.0 Shots on target per match 7.8
3.0 Big chances created per match 2.8
44.2% Possession 43.6%
7.0 Deep completions per match 5.2
Defence
2.38 xGA per match 2.01
18.4 Shots faced per match 14.6
11.2 Shots on target faced per match 9.6
3.0 Big chances faced per match 3.4
8.6 Deep completions allowed per match 4.8
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
26.4 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 28.2

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Frosinone

No published absences in the latest snapshot.

Lecce

No published absences in the latest snapshot.

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.