What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
The two sides are close at the underlying level; the differences sit in specific phases.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Arsenal +0.54, Everton +0.55.
- Points per game over the last five: Arsenal 2.40, Everton 1.20.
- Attack: Arsenal xG per match 1.85, 12.2 shots, 3.0 big chances created; Everton xG per match 1.72, 12.8 shots, 3.2 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Arsenal 1.31, Everton 1.17; shots on target faced 7.5 vs 9.5, big chances faced 1.2 vs 1.8.
- Running: Arsenal 117.8 km, Everton 111.9 km; sprints 110 vs 102.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Points per game
2.40
vs 1.20
· Edge 50.0%
Goals per match
1.40
vs 1.00
· Edge 28.6%
Big chances faced per match
1.2
vs 1.8
· Edge 28.6%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
xGA per match
1.17
vs 1.31
· Edge 10.9%
Big chances created per match
3.2
vs 3.0
· Edge 7.7%
Shots on target per match
9.2
vs 8.8
· Edge 5.4%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Arsenal
|
Metric |
Everton
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 2.40 | Points per game | 1.20 |
| 1.40 | Goals per match | 1.00 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per match | 1.20 |
| 1.69 | Expected points per game | 1.73 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.85 | xG per match | 1.72 |
| 12.2 | Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 12.8 |
| 8.8 | Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 9.2 |
| 3.0 | Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 3.2 |
| 60.8% | Possession 4 / 4 matches with data | 48.8% |
| 10.6 | Deep completions per match | 6.6 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.31 | xGA per match | 1.17 |
| 12.5 | Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 13.8 |
| 7.5 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 9.5 |
| 1.2 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 1.8 |
| 4.6 | Deep completions allowed per match | 7.0 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| 117.8 km | Distance covered per match (km) 4 / 4 matches with data | 111.9 km |
| 110 | Sprints per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 102 |
| 17.8 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 18.6 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Arsenal 2
- Christos Tzolis Injury Expected back late October 2026
- William Saliba Injury Back in training
Everton
No published absences in the latest snapshot.
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.