What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Brentford lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Hull -0.77, Brentford -0.40.
- Points per game over the last five: Hull 0.60, Brentford 1.20.
- Attack: Hull xG per match 1.09, 9.8 shots, 1.8 big chances created; Brentford xG per match 1.40, 11.4 shots, 2.8 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Hull 1.86, Brentford 1.80; shots on target faced 9.0 vs 10.4, big chances faced 4.0 vs 2.4.
- Running: Hull 113.7 km, Brentford 118.9 km; sprints 106 vs 130.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Shots faced per match
14.5
vs 17.4
· Edge 16.7%
Shots on target faced per match
9.0
vs 10.4
· Edge 13.5%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Points per game
1.20
vs 0.60
· Edge 50.0%
Goals per match
1.80
vs 1.00
· Edge 44.4%
Big chances faced per match
2.4
vs 4.0
· Edge 40.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Hull
|
Metric |
Brentford
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 0.60 | Points per game | 1.20 |
| 1.00 | Goals per match | 1.80 |
| 1.40 | Goals conceded per match | 1.40 |
| 0.87 | Expected points per game | 1.13 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.09 | xG per match | 1.40 |
| 9.8 | Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 11.4 |
| 5.2 | Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 6.4 |
| 1.8 | Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 2.8 |
| 29.2% | Possession 4 / 5 matches with data | 44.2% |
| 4.8 | Deep completions per match | 6.4 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.86 | xGA per match | 1.80 |
| 14.5 | Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 17.4 |
| 9.0 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 10.4 |
| 4.0 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 2.4 |
| 10.2 | Deep completions allowed per match | 12.6 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| 113.7 km | Distance covered per match (km) 4 / 5 matches with data | 118.9 km |
| 106 | Sprints per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 130 |
| 21.6 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 25.2 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Hull 9
- Charlie Hughes Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Darko Gyabi Injury Expected back late November 2026
- Eliot Matazo Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Ilyas Ansah Injury Expected back mid October 2026
- Jack Butland Injury Expected back early December 2026
- Lucas Gourna-Douath Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Matt Targett Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Mohamed-Ali Cho Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Nobel Mendy Injury Expected back late October 2026
Brentford 2
- Antoni Milambo Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Joshua Dasilva Injury Expected back late October 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.