What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Leeds lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Sunderland -0.80, Leeds +0.13.
- Points per game over the last five: Sunderland 0.20, Leeds 1.20.
- Attack: Sunderland xG per match 1.66, 11.6 shots, 3.0 big chances created; Leeds xG per match 1.64, 12.0 shots, 2.6 big chances created. Leeds have the better conversion (1.40 vs 0.80).
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Sunderland 2.45, Leeds 1.51; shots on target faced 8.8 vs 8.6, big chances faced 4.0 vs 2.8.
- Running: Sunderland 112.8 km, Leeds 117.2 km; sprints 109 vs 125.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Big chances created per match
3.0
vs 2.6
· Edge 13.3%
xG per match
1.66
vs 1.64
· Edge 0.9%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Points per game
1.20
vs 0.20
· Edge 83.3%
Goals conceded per match
1.00
vs 2.40
· Edge 58.3%
Goals per match
1.40
vs 0.80
· Edge 42.9%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
|
|
Metric |
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 0.20 | Points per game | 1.20 |
| 0.80 | Goals per match | 1.40 |
| 2.40 | Goals conceded per match | 1.00 |
| 1.13 | Expected points per game | 1.49 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.66 | xG per match | 1.64 |
| 11.6 | Shots per match | 12.0 |
| 7.4 | Shots on target per match | 7.6 |
| 3.0 | Big chances created per match | 2.6 |
| 47.2% | Possession | 47.4% |
| 6.2 | Deep completions per match | 4.6 |
| Defence | ||
| 2.45 | xGA per match | 1.51 |
| 16.2 | Shots faced per match | 13.2 |
| 8.8 | Shots on target faced per match | 8.6 |
| 4.0 | Big chances faced per match | 2.8 |
| 7.6 | Deep completions allowed per match | 6.0 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| 112.8 km | Distance covered per match (km) | 117.2 km |
| 109 | Sprints per match | 125 |
| 19.6 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 24.6 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Sunderland 4
- Daniel Ballard Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Romaine Mundle Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Thomas Meunier Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Wilson Isidor Injury Doubtful
Leeds 3
- Daniel James Injury Doubtful
- Joe Rodon Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Mateo Joseph Injury Expected back early January 2027
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.