What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Lyon lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Hoffenheim +0.32, Lyon +0.88.
- Points per game over the last five: Hoffenheim 1.20, Lyon 2.00.
- Attack: Hoffenheim xG per match 1.98, 18.6 shots, 3.6 big chances created; Lyon xG per match 1.93, 11.8 shots, 1.8 big chances created. Lyon have the better conversion (2.00 vs 1.80).
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Hoffenheim 1.66, Lyon 1.05; shots on target faced 8.6 vs 6.0, big chances faced 3.2 vs 1.8.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Big chances created per match
3.6
vs 1.8
· Edge 51.4%
Shots on target per match
12.6
vs 7.0
· Edge 44.4%
Shots per match
18.6
vs 11.8
· Edge 36.8%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Goals conceded per match
0.80
vs 2.20
· Edge 63.6%
Big chances faced per match
1.8
vs 3.2
· Edge 45.3%
Points per game
2.00
vs 1.20
· Edge 40.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Hoffenheim
|
Metric |
Lyon
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.20 | Points per game | 2.00 |
| 1.80 | Goals per match | 2.00 |
| 2.20 | Goals conceded per match | 0.80 |
| 1.58 | Expected points per game | 1.87 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.98 | xG per match | 1.93 |
| 18.6 | Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 11.8 |
| 12.6 | Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 7.0 |
| 3.6 | Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 1.8 |
| 57.0% | Possession 5 / 4 matches with data | 52.0% |
| 14.8 | Deep completions per match | 8.2 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.66 | xGA per match | 1.05 |
| 13.0 | Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 10.2 |
| 8.6 | Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 6.0 |
| 3.2 | Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 1.8 |
| 3.4 | Deep completions allowed per match | 5.8 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 26.4 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 24.8 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Hoffenheim 3
- Albian Hajdari Injury Expected return: A few weeks
- Nathan De Cat Injury Expected back late November 2026
- Patrick Wimmer Injury Expected back mid November 2026
Lyon 3
- Loïs Openda Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Mohamed Ouédraogo Injury Expected back late June 2027
- Nicolás Tagliafico Injury Expected return: A few weeks
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.