Rayo Vallecano vs Elche: what the data says
What is worth noting before kickoff?
What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Rayo Vallecano lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Rayo Vallecano -0.43, Elche -1.26.
- Points per game over the last five: Rayo Vallecano 1.40, Elche 1.20.
- Attack: Rayo Vallecano xG per match 1.33, 15.5 shots, 2.0 big chances created; Elche xG per match 0.81, 9.0 shots, 0.5 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Rayo Vallecano 1.76, Elche 2.08; shots on target faced 12.5 vs 7.8, big chances faced 3.5 vs 3.2.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Big chances created per match
2.0
vs 0.5
· Edge 75.0%
Shots on target per match
9.8
vs 4.0
· Edge 59.0%
Shots per match
15.5
vs 9.0
· Edge 41.9%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Goals conceded per match
1.00
vs 2.60
· Edge 61.5%
Shots on target faced per match
7.8
vs 12.5
· Edge 38.0%
Shots faced per match
16.2
vs 19.5
· Edge 16.7%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Rayo Vallecano
|
Metric |
Elche
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.40 | Points per game | 1.20 |
| 1.80 | Goals per match | 1.20 |
| 2.60 | Goals conceded per match | 1.00 |
| 1.22 | Expected points per game | 0.70 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.33 | xG per match | 0.81 |
| 15.5 | Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 9.0 |
| 9.8 | Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 4.0 |
| 2.0 | Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 0.5 |
| 45.0% | Possession 4 / 4 matches with data | 49.5% |
| 5.8 | Deep completions per match | 5.6 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.76 | xGA per match | 2.08 |
| 19.5 | Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 16.2 |
| 12.5 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 7.8 |
| 3.5 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 3.2 |
| 12.4 | Deep completions allowed per match | 10.4 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 25.6 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 18.2 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Rayo Vallecano 5
- Andrei Ratiu Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Augusto Batalla Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Jorge de Frutos Injury Doubtful
- Luiz Felipe Injury Out for the season
- Randy Nteka Injury Expected back early November 2026
Elche 2
- Marc Aguado Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Yago Santiago Injury Expected return: Unknown
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.