Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: what the data says
What is worth noting before kickoff?
What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Paris Saint Germain lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Le Havre -0.47, Paris Saint Germain +1.57.
- Points per game over the last five: Le Havre 0.20, Paris Saint Germain 2.40.
- Attack: Le Havre xG per match 1.45, 16.2 shots, 1.8 big chances created; Paris Saint Germain xG per match 3.02, 21.8 shots, 5.2 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Le Havre 1.92, Paris Saint Germain 1.45; shots on target faced 6.2 vs 6.6, big chances faced 2.5 vs 3.0.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Big chances faced per match
2.5
vs 3.0
· Edge 16.7%
Shots on target faced per match
6.2
vs 6.6
· Edge 5.3%
Shots faced per match
11.5
vs 12.0
· Edge 4.2%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Points per game
2.40
vs 0.20
· Edge 91.7%
Big chances created per match
5.2
vs 1.8
· Edge 66.3%
Goals per match
2.00
vs 0.80
· Edge 60.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Le Havre
|
Metric |
Paris Saint Germain
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 0.20 | Points per game | 2.40 |
| 0.80 | Goals per match | 2.00 |
| 1.80 | Goals conceded per match | 1.00 |
| 1.06 | Expected points per game | 2.28 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.45 | xG per match | 3.02 |
| 16.2 | Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 21.8 |
| 8.8 | Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 14.8 |
| 1.8 | Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 5.2 |
| 51.8% | Possession 4 / 5 matches with data | 66.8% |
| 6.6 | Deep completions per match | 13.4 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.92 | xGA per match | 1.45 |
| 11.5 | Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 12.0 |
| 6.2 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 6.6 |
| 2.5 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 3.0 |
| 4.4 | Deep completions allowed per match | 4.4 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 26.6 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 21.8 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Le Havre 5
- Elias Jelert Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Felix Mambimbi Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Lionel Mpasi-Nzau Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Stephan Zagadou Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Timothée Pembélé Injury Expected back mid October 2026
Paris Saint Germain 4
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Injury Doubtful
- Marquinhos Injury Doubtful
- Nuno Mendes Injury Expected return: A few weeks
- Ousmane Dembélé Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.