What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Monza have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Torino have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Torino -0.04, Monza +0.38.
- Points per game over the last five: Torino 1.40, Monza 0.80, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Torino xG per match 1.26, 9.2 shots, 3.0 big chances created; Monza xG per match 2.00, 16.0 shots, 4.5 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Torino 1.30, Monza 1.62; shots on target faced 8.2 vs 6.8, big chances faced 1.5 vs 2.0.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Points per game
1.40
vs 0.80
· Edge 42.9%
Goals conceded per match
1.40
vs 2.20
· Edge 36.4%
Big chances faced per match
1.5
vs 2.0
· Edge 25.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Shots per match
16.0
vs 9.2
· Edge 42.2%
Shots on target per match
10.2
vs 6.0
· Edge 41.5%
xG per match
2.00
vs 1.26
· Edge 36.8%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Torino
|
Metric |
Monza
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.40 | Points per game | 0.80 |
| 1.20 | Goals per match | 1.60 |
| 1.40 | Goals conceded per match | 2.20 |
| 1.34 | Expected points per game | 1.67 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.26 | xG per match | 2.00 |
| 9.2 | Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 16.0 |
| 6.0 | Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 10.2 |
| 3.0 | Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 4.5 |
| 51.2% | Possession 4 / 4 matches with data | 50.2% |
| 4.4 | Deep completions per match | 5.8 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.30 | xGA per match | 1.62 |
| 15.5 | Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 10.8 |
| 8.2 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 6.8 |
| 1.5 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 2.0 |
| 5.4 | Deep completions allowed per match | 7.2 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 15.2 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 17.8 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Torino 2
- Emirhan Ilkhan Injury Doubtful
- Niccolò Fortini Injury Expected back early November 2026
Monza 4
- Idrissa Touré Injury Back in training
- Jan Ziólkowski Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Matteo Pessina Injury Doubtful
- Yvan Kouadio Maye Injury Doubtful
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.