Lazio vs Parma

Lazio vs Parma: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Serie A Insight date · 2026-10-21 2026-10-24 ~ 2026-10-24

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Lazio lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Lazio +0.49, Parma -1.56.
  • Points per game over the last five: Lazio 2.60, Parma 0.80.
  • Attack: Lazio xG per match 1.83, 13.2 shots, 3.0 big chances created; Parma xG per match 0.73, 7.4 shots, 1.2 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Lazio 1.34, Parma 2.29; shots on target faced 8.5 vs 10.8, big chances faced 2.2 vs 3.6.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge

Lazio

Points per game 2.60 vs 0.80 · Edge 69.2%
Goals per match 2.40 vs 0.80 · Edge 66.7%
xG per match 1.83 vs 0.73 · Edge 60.2%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge

Parma

No clear edge in the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Lazio Metric Parma
Results
2.60 Points per game 0.80
2.40 Goals per match 0.80
0.80 Goals conceded per match 1.80
1.74 Expected points per game 0.47
Attack
1.83 xG per match 0.73
13.2 Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data 7.4
8.2 Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data 3.8
3.0 Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data 1.2
50.2% Possession 4 / 5 matches with data 41.4%
7.6 Deep completions per match 4.0
Defence
1.34 xGA per match 2.29
12.2 Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 19.4
8.5 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 10.8
2.2 Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 3.6
6.4 Deep completions allowed per match 10.0
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
21.2 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 16.2

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Lazio 4

Snapshot · 2026-10-21

  • Adam Marušić Injury Doubtful
  • Albert Gudmundsson Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Matteo Cancellieri Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Nicolò Rovella Injury Doubtful

Parma 3

Snapshot · 2026-10-21

  • Hans Nicolussi Caviglia Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Nesta Elphege Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Pontus Almqvist Injury Expected back early November 2026

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.