Atalanta vs Frosinone: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Serie A Insight date · 2026-10-21 2026-10-25 ~ 2026-10-25

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Frosinone lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Atalanta -0.90, Frosinone -0.48.
  • Points per game over the last five: Atalanta 0.60, Frosinone 2.00.
  • Attack: Atalanta xG per match 1.52, 14.6 shots, 2.2 big chances created; Frosinone xG per match 1.91, 19.8 shots, 3.0 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Atalanta 2.41, Frosinone 2.38; shots on target faced 10.6 vs 11.2, big chances faced 3.6 vs 3.0.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Shots on target faced per match 10.6 vs 11.2 · Edge 5.4%
Shots faced per match 17.6 vs 18.4 · Edge 4.3%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Points per game 2.00 vs 0.60 · Edge 70.0%
Goals per match 2.00 vs 1.40 · Edge 30.0%
Big chances created per match 3.0 vs 2.2 · Edge 26.7%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Atalanta Metric Frosinone
Results
0.60 Points per game 2.00
1.40 Goals per match 2.00
2.00 Goals conceded per match 1.60
0.87 Expected points per game 1.16
Attack
1.52 xG per match 1.91
14.6 Shots per match 19.8
8.4 Shots on target per match 11.0
2.2 Big chances created per match 3.0
44.6% Possession 44.2%
5.6 Deep completions per match 7.0
Defence
2.41 xGA per match 2.38
17.6 Shots faced per match 18.4
10.6 Shots on target faced per match 11.2
3.6 Big chances faced per match 3.0
9.0 Deep completions allowed per match 8.6
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
19.8 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 26.4

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Atalanta 8

Snapshot · 2026-10-21

  • Franck Kessié Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Giacomo Raspadori Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Giorgio Scalvini Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Isak Hien Injury Doubtful
  • Kamaldeen Sulemana Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Odilon Kossounou Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Sead Kolasinac Injury Doubtful
  • Thomas Pompei Injury Expected back early November 2026

Frosinone 1

Snapshot · 2026-10-21

  • Florian Grillitsch Injury Expected back early November 2026

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.