Lecce vs Juventus: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Serie A Insight date · 2026-10-21 2026-10-25 ~ 2026-10-25

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Juventus have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Lecce have taken more points recently.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Lecce -0.38, Juventus +0.92.
  • Points per game over the last five: Lecce 1.20, Juventus 1.00, opposite to the underlying signal.
  • Attack: Lecce xG per match 1.64, 11.8 shots, 2.8 big chances created; Juventus xG per match 1.55, 15.6 shots, 2.4 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Lecce 2.01, Juventus 0.63; shots on target faced 9.6 vs 4.6, big chances faced 3.4 vs 1.0.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Points per game 1.20 vs 1.00 · Edge 16.7%
Goals per match 1.40 vs 1.20 · Edge 14.3%
Big chances created per match 2.8 vs 2.4 · Edge 14.3%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Big chances faced per match 1.0 vs 3.4 · Edge 70.6%
xGA per match 0.63 vs 2.01 · Edge 68.5%
Shots on target faced per match 4.6 vs 9.6 · Edge 52.1%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Lecce Metric Juventus
Results
1.20 Points per game 1.00
1.40 Goals per match 1.20
1.60 Goals conceded per match 1.60
0.97 Expected points per game 2.07
Attack
1.64 xG per match 1.55
11.8 Shots per match 15.6
7.8 Shots on target per match 10.0
2.8 Big chances created per match 2.4
43.6% Possession 57.8%
5.2 Deep completions per match 8.4
Defence
2.01 xGA per match 0.63
14.6 Shots faced per match 7.4
9.6 Shots on target faced per match 4.6
3.4 Big chances faced per match 1.0
4.8 Deep completions allowed per match 3.6
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
28.2 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 23.6

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Lecce 3

Snapshot · 2026-10-21

  • Ivan Ilic Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Lassana Coulibaly Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Medon Berisha Injury Expected back early November 2026

Juventus 6

Snapshot · 2026-10-21

  • Francisco Conceição Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Jeff Ekhator Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Kamil Grabara Injury Out for the season
  • Kenan Yıldız Injury Expected back early December 2026
  • Khéphren Thuram-Ulien Injury Expected back mid January 2027
  • Manuel Locatelli Injury Expected back late March 2027

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.