Parma vs Udinese: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Serie A Insight date · 2026-10-21 2026-10-28 ~ 2026-10-28

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

The two sides are close at the underlying level; the differences sit in specific phases.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Parma -1.56, Udinese -1.59.
  • Points per game over the last five: Parma 0.80, Udinese 0.00.
  • Attack: Parma xG per match 0.73, 7.4 shots, 1.2 big chances created; Udinese xG per match 1.02, 11.2 shots, 1.2 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Parma 2.29, Udinese 2.61; shots on target faced 10.8 vs 13.5, big chances faced 3.6 vs 5.5.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Points per game 0.80 vs 0.00 · Edge 100.0%
Big chances faced per match 3.6 vs 5.5 · Edge 34.5%
Goals conceded per match 1.80 vs 2.60 · Edge 30.8%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Shots on target per match 7.0 vs 3.8 · Edge 45.7%
Shots per match 11.2 vs 7.4 · Edge 34.2%
xG per match 1.02 vs 0.73 · Edge 28.7%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Parma Metric Udinese
Results
0.80 Points per game 0.00
0.80 Goals per match 1.00
1.80 Goals conceded per match 2.60
0.47 Expected points per game 0.66
Attack
0.73 xG per match 1.02
7.4 Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data 11.2
3.8 Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data 7.0
1.2 Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data 1.2
41.4% Possession 5 / 4 matches with data 50.8%
4.0 Deep completions per match 5.6
Defence
2.29 xGA per match 2.61
19.4 Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 18.8
10.8 Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 13.5
3.6 Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 5.5
10.0 Deep completions allowed per match 7.2
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
16.2 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 17.6

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Parma 3

Snapshot · 2026-10-21

  • Hans Nicolussi Caviglia Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Nesta Elphege Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Pontus Almqvist Injury Expected back early November 2026

Udinese 4

Snapshot · 2026-10-21

  • David Alaba Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Idrissa Gueye Injury Expected back late December 2026
  • Nicolò Zaniolo Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo Injury Expected back early November 2026

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.