Fiorentina vs Atalanta

Fiorentina vs Atalanta: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Serie A Insight date · 2026-10-21 2026-10-29 ~ 2026-10-29

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Fiorentina lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Fiorentina +0.35, Atalanta -0.90.
  • Points per game over the last five: Fiorentina 0.80, Atalanta 0.60.
  • Attack: Fiorentina xG per match 1.82, 16.4 shots, 2.8 big chances created; Atalanta xG per match 1.52, 14.6 shots, 2.2 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Fiorentina 1.47, Atalanta 2.41; shots on target faced 6.6 vs 10.6, big chances faced 2.4 vs 3.6.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge

Fiorentina

xGA per match 1.47 vs 2.41 · Edge 39.0%
Shots on target faced per match 6.6 vs 10.6 · Edge 37.7%
Shots faced per match 11.4 vs 17.6 · Edge 35.2%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge

Atalanta

No clear edge in the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Fiorentina Metric Atalanta
Results
0.80 Points per game 0.60
1.60 Goals per match 1.40
2.00 Goals conceded per match 2.00
1.54 Expected points per game 0.87
Attack
1.82 xG per match 1.52
16.4 Shots per match 14.6
9.4 Shots on target per match 8.4
2.8 Big chances created per match 2.2
45.6% Possession 44.6%
8.6 Deep completions per match 5.6
Defence
1.47 xGA per match 2.41
11.4 Shots faced per match 17.6
6.6 Shots on target faced per match 10.6
2.4 Big chances faced per match 3.6
4.6 Deep completions allowed per match 9.0
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
21.6 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 19.8

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Fiorentina 3

Snapshot · 2026-10-21

  • Arthur Atta Injury Expected return: A few days
  • Fabiano Parisi Injury Expected back early December 2026
  • Luca Ranieri Injury Doubtful

Atalanta 8

Snapshot · 2026-10-21

  • Franck Kessié Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Giacomo Raspadori Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Giorgio Scalvini Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Isak Hien Injury Doubtful
  • Kamaldeen Sulemana Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Odilon Kossounou Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Sead Kolasinac Injury Doubtful
  • Thomas Pompei Injury Expected back early November 2026

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.