What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Brighton lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Liverpool +0.25, Brighton +0.99.
- Points per game over the last five: Liverpool 2.00, Brighton 2.60.
- Attack: Liverpool xG per match 1.23, 14.0 shots, 1.2 big chances created; Brighton xG per match 2.20, 18.0 shots, 4.0 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Liverpool 0.98, Brighton 1.20; shots on target faced 6.8 vs 6.8, big chances faced 1.4 vs 2.0.
- Running: Liverpool 111.6 km, Brighton 113.5 km; sprints 128 vs 100.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Big chances faced per match
1.4
vs 2.0
· Edge 30.0%
Sprints per match
128
vs 100
· Edge 22.4%
xGA per match
0.98
vs 1.20
· Edge 18.4%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Goals conceded per match
0.20
vs 0.80
· Edge 75.0%
Big chances created per match
4.0
vs 1.2
· Edge 70.0%
Goals per match
3.20
vs 1.00
· Edge 68.8%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
|
|
Metric |
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 2.00 | Points per game | 2.60 |
| 1.00 | Goals per match | 3.20 |
| 0.80 | Goals conceded per match | 0.20 |
| 1.54 | Expected points per game | 2.10 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.23 | xG per match | 2.20 |
| 14.0 | Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 18.0 |
| 9.0 | Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 10.8 |
| 1.2 | Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 4.0 |
| 52.0% | Possession 5 / 4 matches with data | 58.0% |
| 7.2 | Deep completions per match | 4.6 |
| Defence | ||
| 0.98 | xGA per match | 1.20 |
| 11.6 | Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 10.5 |
| 6.8 | Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 6.8 |
| 1.4 | Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 2.0 |
| 8.4 | Deep completions allowed per match | 6.8 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| 111.6 km | Distance covered per match (km) 5 / 4 matches with data | 113.5 km |
| 128 | Sprints per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 100 |
| 24.8 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 25.8 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Liverpool 6
- Conor Bradley Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Dominik Szoboszlai Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Giovanni Leoni Injury Expected back late November 2026
- Hugo Ekitiké Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Jeremie Frimpong Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Víctor Muñoz Injury Doubtful
Brighton 7
- Evan Ferguson Injury Expected back mid October 2026
- Femi Azeez Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Kaoru Mitoma Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Mats Wieffer Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Stefanos Tzimas Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Yankuba Minteh Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Zadok Yohanna Injury Expected back late October 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.