Aston Villa vs Fulham

Aston Villa vs Fulham: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Premier League Insight date · 2026-10-22 2026-10-31 ~ 2026-10-31

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Fulham have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Aston Villa have taken more points recently.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Aston Villa +0.16, Fulham +0.38.
  • Points per game over the last five: Aston Villa 1.60, Fulham 1.00, opposite to the underlying signal.
  • Attack: Aston Villa xG per match 1.67, 13.8 shots, 2.5 big chances created; Fulham xG per match 1.92, 15.6 shots, 2.6 big chances created. Aston Villa have the better conversion (1.40 vs 1.00).
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Aston Villa 1.51, Fulham 1.53; shots on target faced 7.8 vs 8.4, big chances faced 2.5 vs 2.8.
  • Running: Aston Villa 112.0 km, Fulham 118.7 km; sprints 118 vs 100.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge

Aston Villa

Points per game 1.60 vs 1.00 · Edge 37.5%
Goals per match 1.40 vs 1.00 · Edge 28.6%
Sprints per match 118 vs 100 · Edge 15.4%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge

Fulham

xG per match 1.92 vs 1.67 · Edge 12.8%
Shots per match 15.6 vs 13.8 · Edge 11.9%
Shots faced per match 14.0 vs 15.8 · Edge 11.1%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Aston Villa Metric Fulham
Results
1.60 Points per game 1.00
1.40 Goals per match 1.00
1.20 Goals conceded per match 1.20
1.55 Expected points per game 1.62
Attack
1.67 xG per match 1.92
13.8 Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data 15.6
9.2 Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data 9.6
2.5 Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data 2.6
57.5% Possession 4 / 5 matches with data 55.6%
8.4 Deep completions per match 12.6
Defence
1.51 xGA per match 1.53
15.8 Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 14.0
7.8 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 8.4
2.5 Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 2.8
8.0 Deep completions allowed per match 6.2
Running & pressing
112.0 km Distance covered per match (km) 4 / 5 matches with data 118.7 km
118 Sprints per match 4 / 5 matches with data 100
16.2 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 17.6

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Aston Villa 12

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Aaron Wan-Bissaka Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Aaron Wan-Bissaka Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Amadou Onana Injury Expected back mid April 2027
  • Amadou Onana Injury Expected back mid April 2027
  • George Hemmings Injury Doubtful
  • Ian Maatsen Injury Doubtful
  • Johan Manzambi Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Johan Manzambi Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Matteo Ruggeri Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Matteo Ruggeri Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Modou Kéba Cissé Injury Back in training
  • Modou Kéba Cissé Injury Back in training

Fulham 1

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Hugo Larsson Injury Doubtful

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.