Hull vs Ipswich

Hull vs Ipswich: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Premier League Insight date · 2026-10-22 2026-10-31 ~ 2026-10-31

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

The two sides are close at the underlying level; the differences sit in specific phases.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Hull -0.77, Ipswich -0.74.
  • Points per game over the last five: Hull 0.60, Ipswich 1.20.
  • Attack: Hull xG per match 1.09, 9.8 shots, 1.8 big chances created; Ipswich xG per match 1.27, 11.2 shots, 2.0 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Hull 1.86, Ipswich 2.01; shots on target faced 9.0 vs 8.2, big chances faced 4.0 vs 2.5.
  • Running: Hull 113.7 km, Ipswich 118.6 km; sprints 106 vs 120.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge

Hull

Goals conceded per match 1.40 vs 1.80 · Edge 22.2%
xGA per match 1.86 vs 2.01 · Edge 7.5%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge

Ipswich

Points per game 1.20 vs 0.60 · Edge 50.0%
Big chances faced per match 2.5 vs 4.0 · Edge 37.5%
Goals per match 1.40 vs 1.00 · Edge 28.6%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Hull Metric Ipswich
Results
0.60 Points per game 1.20
1.00 Goals per match 1.40
1.40 Goals conceded per match 1.80
0.87 Expected points per game 1.00
Attack
1.09 xG per match 1.27
9.8 Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data 11.2
5.2 Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data 6.2
1.8 Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data 2.0
29.2% Possession 4 / 4 matches with data 44.2%
4.8 Deep completions per match 5.6
Defence
1.86 xGA per match 2.01
14.5 Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 13.2
9.0 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 8.2
4.0 Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 2.5
10.2 Deep completions allowed per match 7.8
Running & pressing
113.7 km Distance covered per match (km) 4 / 4 matches with data 118.6 km
106 Sprints per match 4 / 4 matches with data 120
21.6 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 25.0

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Hull 9

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Charlie Hughes Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Darko Gyabi Injury Expected back late November 2026
  • Eliot Matazo Injury Expected back early January 2027
  • Ilyas Ansah Injury Expected back mid October 2026
  • Jack Butland Injury Expected back early December 2026
  • Lucas Gourna-Douath Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Matt Targett Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Mohamed-Ali Cho Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Nobel Mendy Injury Expected back late October 2026

Ipswich 1

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Jack Taylor Injury Doubtful

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.