Augsburg vs Union Berlin

Augsburg vs Union Berlin: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Bundesliga Insight date · 2026-10-22 2026-10-24 ~ 2026-10-24

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Augsburg lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Augsburg -1.31, Union Berlin -1.44.
  • Points per game over the last five: Augsburg 1.00, Union Berlin 0.80.
  • Attack: Augsburg xG per match 1.74, 16.5 shots, 2.2 big chances created; Union Berlin xG per match 0.96, 13.8 shots, 1.2 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Augsburg 3.06, Union Berlin 2.40; shots on target faced 16.5 vs 8.8, big chances faced 4.2 vs 3.2.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge

Augsburg

Goals per match 2.60 vs 0.40 · Edge 84.6%
xG per match 1.74 vs 0.96 · Edge 44.8%
Big chances created per match 2.2 vs 1.2 · Edge 44.4%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge

Union Berlin

Shots on target faced per match 8.8 vs 16.5 · Edge 47.0%
Shots faced per match 14.2 vs 25.5 · Edge 44.1%
Big chances faced per match 3.2 vs 4.2 · Edge 23.5%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Augsburg Metric Union Berlin
Results
1.00 Points per game 0.80
2.60 Goals per match 0.40
2.40 Goals conceded per match 2.80
0.65 Expected points per game 0.84
Attack
1.74 xG per match 0.96
16.5 Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data 13.8
11.5 Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data 8.0
2.2 Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data 1.2
41.8% Possession 4 / 4 matches with data 45.8%
6.2 Deep completions per match 4.0
Defence
3.06 xGA per match 2.40
25.5 Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 14.2
16.5 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 8.8
4.2 Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 3.2
15.8 Deep completions allowed per match 12.8
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
17.6 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 20.2

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Augsburg 6

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Alexis Claude-Maurice Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Faik Sakar Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Klaus Sima Suso Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Noahkai Banks Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Steve Mounié Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Tim Breithaupt Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks

Union Berlin 5

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Andrej Ilić Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Andrik Markgraf Injury Expected back early March 2027
  • Josip Juranović Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
  • Marvin Friedrich Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Stanley N'Soki Injury Expected back late October 2026

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.