What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Le Havre have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Marseille have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Marseille -0.83, Le Havre -0.47.
- Points per game over the last five: Marseille 1.20, Le Havre 0.20, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Marseille xG per match 1.85, 13.0 shots, 3.4 big chances created; Le Havre xG per match 1.45, 16.2 shots, 1.8 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Marseille 2.68, Le Havre 1.92; shots on target faced 11.4 vs 6.2, big chances faced 4.0 vs 2.5.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Points per game
1.20
vs 0.20
· Edge 83.3%
Goals per match
2.00
vs 0.80
· Edge 60.0%
Big chances created per match
3.4
vs 1.8
· Edge 48.5%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Shots on target faced per match
6.2
vs 11.4
· Edge 45.2%
Shots faced per match
11.5
vs 19.0
· Edge 39.5%
Big chances faced per match
2.5
vs 4.0
· Edge 37.5%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Marseille
|
Metric |
Le Havre
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.20 | Points per game | 0.20 |
| 2.00 | Goals per match | 0.80 |
| 1.60 | Goals conceded per match | 1.80 |
| 1.01 | Expected points per game | 1.06 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.85 | xG per match | 1.45 |
| 13.0 | Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 16.2 |
| 7.8 | Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 8.8 |
| 3.4 | Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 1.8 |
| 54.6% | Possession 5 / 4 matches with data | 51.8% |
| 8.2 | Deep completions per match | 6.6 |
| Defence | ||
| 2.68 | xGA per match | 1.92 |
| 19.0 | Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 11.5 |
| 11.4 | Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 6.2 |
| 4.0 | Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 2.5 |
| 10.0 | Deep completions allowed per match | 4.4 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 22.8 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 26.6 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Marseille 2
- Derek Cornelius Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Injury Doubtful
Le Havre 5
- Elias Jelert Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Felix Mambimbi Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Lionel Mpasi-Nzau Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Stephan Zagadou Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Timothée Pembélé Injury Expected back late October 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.