Lille vs Lens: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Ligue 1 Insight date · 2026-10-22 2026-10-30 ~ 2026-10-30

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Lille lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Lille +0.30, Lens +0.09.
  • Points per game over the last five: Lille 2.00, Lens 1.40.
  • Attack: Lille xG per match 1.68, 13.4 shots, 2.8 big chances created; Lens xG per match 1.54, 15.2 shots, 3.0 big chances created. Lens have the better conversion (1.60 vs 1.20).
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Lille 1.38, Lens 1.45; shots on target faced 6.2 vs 6.8, big chances faced 2.0 vs 2.8.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Goals conceded per match 0.60 vs 1.40 · Edge 57.1%
Points per game 2.00 vs 1.40 · Edge 30.0%
Big chances faced per match 2.0 vs 2.8 · Edge 27.3%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Goals per match 1.60 vs 1.20 · Edge 25.0%
Shots faced per match 11.5 vs 13.4 · Edge 14.2%
Shots per match 15.2 vs 13.4 · Edge 12.1%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Lille Metric Lens
Results
2.00 Points per game 1.40
1.20 Goals per match 1.60
0.60 Goals conceded per match 1.40
1.68 Expected points per game 1.43
Attack
1.68 xG per match 1.54
13.4 Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data 15.2
8.2 Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data 8.8
2.8 Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data 3.0
56.4% Possession 5 / 4 matches with data 53.0%
9.2 Deep completions per match 4.8
Defence
1.38 xGA per match 1.45
13.4 Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 11.5
6.2 Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 6.8
2.0 Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 2.8
5.6 Deep completions allowed per match 6.2
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
23.2 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 23.4

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Lille 8

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Ayase Ueda Injury Expected return: A few weeks
  • Ayase Ueda Injury Expected return: A few weeks
  • Hamza Igamane Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Hamza Igamane Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Osame Sahraoui Injury Expected back in about a week
  • Osame Sahraoui Injury Expected back in about a week
  • Tiago Santos Injury Expected back late June 2027
  • Tiago Santos Injury Expected back late June 2027

Lens 10

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Abdallah Sima Injury Expected back late November 2026
  • Abdallah Sima Injury Expected back late November 2026
  • Ismaëlo Ganiou Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Ismaëlo Ganiou Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Jhoanner Chávez Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Jhoanner Chávez Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Jonathan Gradit Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
  • Jonathan Gradit Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
  • Maik Nawrocki Injury Expected back mid May 2027
  • Maik Nawrocki Injury Expected back mid May 2027

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.