What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Lille lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Lille +0.30, Lens +0.09.
- Points per game over the last five: Lille 2.00, Lens 1.40.
- Attack: Lille xG per match 1.68, 13.4 shots, 2.8 big chances created; Lens xG per match 1.54, 15.2 shots, 3.0 big chances created. Lens have the better conversion (1.60 vs 1.20).
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Lille 1.38, Lens 1.45; shots on target faced 6.2 vs 6.8, big chances faced 2.0 vs 2.8.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Goals conceded per match
0.60
vs 1.40
· Edge 57.1%
Points per game
2.00
vs 1.40
· Edge 30.0%
Big chances faced per match
2.0
vs 2.8
· Edge 27.3%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Goals per match
1.60
vs 1.20
· Edge 25.0%
Shots faced per match
11.5
vs 13.4
· Edge 14.2%
Shots per match
15.2
vs 13.4
· Edge 12.1%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
|
|
Metric |
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 2.00 | Points per game | 1.40 |
| 1.20 | Goals per match | 1.60 |
| 0.60 | Goals conceded per match | 1.40 |
| 1.68 | Expected points per game | 1.43 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.68 | xG per match | 1.54 |
| 13.4 | Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 15.2 |
| 8.2 | Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 8.8 |
| 2.8 | Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 3.0 |
| 56.4% | Possession 5 / 4 matches with data | 53.0% |
| 9.2 | Deep completions per match | 4.8 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.38 | xGA per match | 1.45 |
| 13.4 | Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 11.5 |
| 6.2 | Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 6.8 |
| 2.0 | Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 2.8 |
| 5.6 | Deep completions allowed per match | 6.2 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 23.2 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 23.4 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Lille 8
- Ayase Ueda Injury Expected return: A few weeks
- Ayase Ueda Injury Expected return: A few weeks
- Hamza Igamane Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Hamza Igamane Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Osame Sahraoui Injury Expected back in about a week
- Osame Sahraoui Injury Expected back in about a week
- Tiago Santos Injury Expected back late June 2027
- Tiago Santos Injury Expected back late June 2027
Lens 10
- Abdallah Sima Injury Expected back late November 2026
- Abdallah Sima Injury Expected back late November 2026
- Ismaëlo Ganiou Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Ismaëlo Ganiou Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Jhoanner Chávez Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Jhoanner Chávez Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Jonathan Gradit Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
- Jonathan Gradit Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
- Maik Nawrocki Injury Expected back mid May 2027
- Maik Nawrocki Injury Expected back mid May 2027
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.