What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Brest have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Lorient have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Lorient +0.05, Brest +0.49.
- Points per game over the last five: Lorient 2.00, Brest 1.40, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Lorient xG per match 1.01, 8.8 shots, 1.5 big chances created; Brest xG per match 1.88, 14.2 shots, 3.4 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Lorient 0.96, Brest 1.39; shots on target faced 9.5 vs 8.0, big chances faced 1.8 vs 1.8.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Goals conceded per match
0.80
vs 1.20
· Edge 33.3%
xGA per match
0.96
vs 1.39
· Edge 31.2%
Points per game
2.00
vs 1.40
· Edge 30.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Big chances created per match
3.4
vs 1.5
· Edge 55.9%
xG per match
1.88
vs 1.01
· Edge 46.4%
Shots per match
14.2
vs 8.8
· Edge 38.4%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Lorient
|
Metric |
Brest
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 2.00 | Points per game | 1.40 |
| 1.20 | Goals per match | 1.80 |
| 0.80 | Goals conceded per match | 1.20 |
| 1.40 | Expected points per game | 1.54 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.01 | xG per match | 1.88 |
| 8.8 | Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 14.2 |
| 5.0 | Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 7.8 |
| 1.5 | Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 3.4 |
| 41.5% | Possession 4 / 5 matches with data | 44.0% |
| 4.6 | Deep completions per match | 5.0 |
| Defence | ||
| 0.96 | xGA per match | 1.39 |
| 15.5 | Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 14.0 |
| 9.5 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 8.0 |
| 1.8 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 1.8 |
| 7.2 | Deep completions allowed per match | 8.4 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 11.4 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 21.6 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Lorient 4
- Bandiougou Fadiga Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Isak Steiner Jensen Injury Expected return: A few weeks
- Mohamed Bamba Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
- Noah Mbamba Injury Expected back late October 2026
Brest 3
- Brendan Chardonnet Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
- Giovani Versini Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Raphaël Le Guen Injury Expected back late January 2027
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.