What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
The two sides are close at the underlying level; the differences sit in specific phases.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Nice -0.09, Rennes -0.04.
- Points per game over the last five: Nice 1.40, Rennes 1.80.
- Attack: Nice xG per match 1.30, 10.6 shots, 2.2 big chances created; Rennes xG per match 2.17, 17.5 shots, 3.8 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Nice 1.39, Rennes 2.21; shots on target faced 8.0 vs 11.2, big chances faced 2.2 vs 2.5.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Goals conceded per match
1.20
vs 2.00
· Edge 40.0%
xGA per match
1.39
vs 2.21
· Edge 37.1%
Shots on target faced per match
8.0
vs 11.2
· Edge 28.9%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Shots on target per match
12.8
vs 5.6
· Edge 56.1%
Big chances created per match
3.8
vs 2.2
· Edge 41.3%
Goals per match
2.00
vs 1.20
· Edge 40.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Nice
|
Metric |
Rennes
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.40 | Points per game | 1.80 |
| 1.20 | Goals per match | 2.00 |
| 1.20 | Goals conceded per match | 2.00 |
| 1.30 | Expected points per game | 1.46 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.30 | xG per match | 2.17 |
| 10.6 | Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 17.5 |
| 5.6 | Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 12.8 |
| 2.2 | Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 3.8 |
| 53.4% | Possession 5 / 4 matches with data | 53.0% |
| 7.4 | Deep completions per match | 9.0 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.39 | xGA per match | 2.21 |
| 12.2 | Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 16.0 |
| 8.0 | Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 11.2 |
| 2.2 | Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 2.5 |
| 6.6 | Deep completions allowed per match | 9.4 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 19.0 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 22.2 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Nice 4
- Ali Abdi Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
- Antoine Mendy Injury Expected back late May 2027
- Laurent Abergel Injury Expected back late April 2027
- Moïse Bombito Injury Expected back early November 2026
Rennes 2
- Estéban Lepaul Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
- Estéban Lepaul Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.