What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Inter lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Inter +1.69, Fiorentina +0.35.
- Points per game over the last five: Inter 2.60, Fiorentina 0.80.
- Attack: Inter xG per match 3.31, 23.0 shots, 6.0 big chances created; Fiorentina xG per match 1.82, 16.4 shots, 2.8 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Inter 1.62, Fiorentina 1.47; shots on target faced 6.8 vs 6.6, big chances faced 2.2 vs 2.4.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Points per game
2.60
vs 0.80
· Edge 69.2%
Big chances created per match
6.0
vs 2.8
· Edge 53.3%
Goals per match
3.20
vs 1.60
· Edge 50.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
xGA per match
1.47
vs 1.62
· Edge 9.1%
Shots on target faced per match
6.6
vs 6.8
· Edge 2.2%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Inter
|
Metric |
Fiorentina
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 2.60 | Points per game | 0.80 |
| 3.20 | Goals per match | 1.60 |
| 1.60 | Goals conceded per match | 2.00 |
| 2.38 | Expected points per game | 1.54 |
| Attack | ||
| 3.31 | xG per match | 1.82 |
| 23.0 | Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 16.4 |
| 14.8 | Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 9.4 |
| 6.0 | Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 2.8 |
| 63.2% | Possession 4 / 5 matches with data | 45.6% |
| 14.0 | Deep completions per match | 8.6 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.62 | xGA per match | 1.47 |
| 10.5 | Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 11.4 |
| 6.8 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 6.6 |
| 2.2 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 2.4 |
| 5.6 | Deep completions allowed per match | 4.6 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 22.0 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 21.6 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Inter 4
- Benjamin Pavard Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Curtis Jones Injury Expected back early November 2026
- John Stones Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Lautaro Martínez Injury Expected back mid November 2026
Fiorentina 3
- Arthur Atta Injury Expected return: A few days
- Fabiano Parisi Injury Expected back early December 2026
- Luca Ranieri Injury Doubtful
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.