Roma vs Cagliari

Roma vs Cagliari: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Serie A Insight date · 2026-10-22 2026-10-27 ~ 2026-10-27

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Roma lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Roma +0.86, Cagliari -1.02.
  • Points per game over the last five: Roma 2.20, Cagliari 2.00.
  • Attack: Roma xG per match 2.15, 19.2 shots, 2.5 big chances created; Cagliari xG per match 1.00, 9.8 shots, 1.2 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Roma 1.29, Cagliari 2.02; shots on target faced 5.0 vs 11.8, big chances faced 2.0 vs 2.8.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge

Roma

Shots on target faced per match 5.0 vs 11.8 · Edge 57.4%
xG per match 2.15 vs 1.00 · Edge 53.4%
Shots faced per match 10.5 vs 21.2 · Edge 50.6%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge

Cagliari

No clear edge in the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Roma Metric Cagliari
Results
2.20 Points per game 2.00
1.60 Goals per match 1.00
0.60 Goals conceded per match 0.60
1.92 Expected points per game 0.90
Attack
2.15 xG per match 1.00
19.2 Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data 9.8
9.8 Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data 5.8
2.5 Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data 1.2
53.5% Possession 4 / 4 matches with data 36.0%
10.6 Deep completions per match 1.8
Defence
1.29 xGA per match 2.02
10.5 Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 21.2
5.0 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 11.8
2.0 Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 2.8
5.4 Deep completions allowed per match 12.6
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
26.4 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 14.0

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Roma 4

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Lorenzo Pellegrini Injury Doubtful
  • Manu Koné Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Mile Svilar Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Paulo Dybala Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks

Cagliari 3

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Mattia Felici Injury Out for the season
  • Riyad Idrissi Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Yael Trepy Injury Doubtful

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.