What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
The two sides are close at the underlying level; the differences sit in specific phases.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Hull -0.77, Ipswich -0.74.
- Points per game over the last five: Hull 0.60, Ipswich 1.20.
- Attack: Hull xG per match 1.09, 9.8 shots, 1.8 big chances created; Ipswich xG per match 1.27, 11.2 shots, 2.0 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Hull 1.86, Ipswich 2.01; shots on target faced 9.0 vs 8.2, big chances faced 4.0 vs 2.5.
- Running: Hull 113.7 km, Ipswich 118.6 km; sprints 106 vs 120.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Goals conceded per match
1.40
vs 1.80
· Edge 22.2%
xGA per match
1.86
vs 2.01
· Edge 7.5%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Points per game
1.20
vs 0.60
· Edge 50.0%
Big chances faced per match
2.5
vs 4.0
· Edge 37.5%
Goals per match
1.40
vs 1.00
· Edge 28.6%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Hull
|
Metric |
Ipswich
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 0.60 | Points per game | 1.20 |
| 1.00 | Goals per match | 1.40 |
| 1.40 | Goals conceded per match | 1.80 |
| 0.87 | Expected points per game | 1.00 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.09 | xG per match | 1.27 |
| 9.8 | Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 11.2 |
| 5.2 | Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 6.2 |
| 1.8 | Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 2.0 |
| 29.2% | Possession 4 / 4 matches with data | 44.2% |
| 4.8 | Deep completions per match | 5.6 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.86 | xGA per match | 2.01 |
| 14.5 | Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 13.2 |
| 9.0 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 8.2 |
| 4.0 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 2.5 |
| 10.2 | Deep completions allowed per match | 7.8 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| 113.7 km | Distance covered per match (km) 4 / 4 matches with data | 118.6 km |
| 106 | Sprints per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 120 |
| 21.6 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 25.0 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Hull 9
- Charlie Hughes Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Darko Gyabi Injury Expected back late November 2026
- Eliot Matazo Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Ilyas Ansah Injury Expected back mid October 2026
- Jack Butland Injury Expected back early December 2026
- Lucas Gourna-Douath Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Matt Targett Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Mohamed-Ali Cho Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Nobel Mendy Injury Expected back late October 2026
Ipswich 1
- Jack Taylor Injury Doubtful
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.