Tottenham vs Crystal Palace: what the data says
What is worth noting before kickoff?
What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Tottenham have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Crystal Palace have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Tottenham +0.22, Crystal Palace -0.94.
- Points per game over the last five: Tottenham 0.60, Crystal Palace 1.40, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Tottenham xG per match 1.42, 13.5 shots, 2.2 big chances created; Crystal Palace xG per match 1.46, 10.4 shots, 3.0 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Tottenham 1.20, Crystal Palace 2.40; shots on target faced 6.2 vs 11.4, big chances faced 1.2 vs 3.4.
- Running: Tottenham 111.5 km, Crystal Palace 114.0 km; sprints 109 vs 102.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Big chances faced per match
1.2
vs 3.4
· Edge 63.2%
xGA per match
1.20
vs 2.40
· Edge 49.9%
Goals conceded per match
1.20
vs 2.20
· Edge 45.5%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Goals per match
1.60
vs 0.60
· Edge 62.5%
Points per game
1.40
vs 0.60
· Edge 57.1%
Big chances created per match
3.0
vs 2.2
· Edge 25.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Tottenham
|
Metric |
Crystal Palace
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 0.60 | Points per game | 1.40 |
| 0.60 | Goals per match | 1.60 |
| 1.20 | Goals conceded per match | 2.20 |
| 1.53 | Expected points per game | 0.77 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.42 | xG per match | 1.46 |
| 13.5 | Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 10.4 |
| 8.0 | Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 6.2 |
| 2.2 | Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 3.0 |
| 57.2% | Possession 4 / 5 matches with data | 43.4% |
| 7.6 | Deep completions per match | 5.4 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.20 | xGA per match | 2.40 |
| 11.8 | Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 18.2 |
| 6.2 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 11.4 |
| 1.2 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 3.4 |
| 6.8 | Deep completions allowed per match | 10.2 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| 111.5 km | Distance covered per match (km) 4 / 5 matches with data | 114.0 km |
| 109 | Sprints per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 102 |
| 28.0 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 18.0 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Tottenham 7
- Destiny Udogie Injury Doubtful
- Lucas Bergvall Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Mykhaylo Mudryk Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Pedro Porro Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Sávio Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Wilson Odobert Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Xavi Simons Injury Expected back early February 2027
Crystal Palace 4
- Ben Chilwell Injury Doubtful
- Chadi Riad Injury Expected back late June 2027
- Dean Henderson Injury Doubtful
- Takehiro Tomiyasu Injury Doubtful
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.