Celta Vigo vs Real Betis: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence La Liga Insight date · 2026-10-23 2026-10-25 ~ 2026-10-25

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Real Betis lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Celta Vigo +0.34, Real Betis +0.68.
  • Points per game over the last five: Celta Vigo 1.80, Real Betis 2.00.
  • Attack: Celta Vigo xG per match 1.26, 11.5 shots, 1.5 big chances created; Real Betis xG per match 2.34, 17.0 shots, 3.6 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Celta Vigo 0.93, Real Betis 1.65; shots on target faced 7.5 vs 10.2, big chances faced 0.8 vs 2.4.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Big chances faced per match 0.8 vs 2.4 · Edge 68.8%
Goals conceded per match 0.60 vs 1.80 · Edge 66.7%
xGA per match 0.93 vs 1.65 · Edge 44.0%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Big chances created per match 3.6 vs 1.5 · Edge 58.3%
Shots on target per match 12.6 vs 5.5 · Edge 56.3%
xG per match 2.34 vs 1.26 · Edge 46.0%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Celta Vigo Metric Real Betis
Results
1.80 Points per game 2.00
1.80 Goals per match 2.20
0.60 Goals conceded per match 1.80
1.58 Expected points per game 1.77
Attack
1.26 xG per match 2.34
11.5 Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data 17.0
5.5 Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data 12.6
1.5 Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data 3.6
49.2% Possession 4 / 5 matches with data 50.6%
5.8 Deep completions per match 7.2
Defence
0.93 xGA per match 1.65
13.8 Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 15.2
7.5 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 10.2
0.8 Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 2.4
3.4 Deep completions allowed per match 6.2
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
25.2 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 18.8

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Celta Vigo 6

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Borja Iglesias Injury Expected back late November 2026
  • Carl Starfelt Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Jones El-Abdellaoui Injury Expected back mid January 2027
  • Miguel Román Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Pablo Durán Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Álvaro Núñez Injury Expected back late November 2026

Real Betis 2

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Juan Hernández Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Junior Firpo Injury Expected back early November 2026

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.