Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: what the data says
What is worth noting before kickoff?
What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Celta Vigo lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Rayo Vallecano -0.43, Celta Vigo +0.34.
- Points per game over the last five: Rayo Vallecano 1.40, Celta Vigo 1.80.
- Attack: Rayo Vallecano xG per match 1.33, 15.5 shots, 2.0 big chances created; Celta Vigo xG per match 1.26, 11.5 shots, 1.5 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Rayo Vallecano 1.76, Celta Vigo 0.93; shots on target faced 12.5 vs 7.5, big chances faced 3.5 vs 0.8.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Shots on target per match
9.8
vs 5.5
· Edge 43.6%
Shots per match
15.5
vs 11.5
· Edge 25.8%
Big chances created per match
2.0
vs 1.5
· Edge 25.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Big chances faced per match
0.8
vs 3.5
· Edge 78.6%
Goals conceded per match
0.60
vs 2.60
· Edge 76.9%
xGA per match
0.93
vs 1.76
· Edge 47.3%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Rayo Vallecano
|
Metric |
Celta Vigo
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.40 | Points per game | 1.80 |
| 1.80 | Goals per match | 1.80 |
| 2.60 | Goals conceded per match | 0.60 |
| 1.22 | Expected points per game | 1.58 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.33 | xG per match | 1.26 |
| 15.5 | Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 11.5 |
| 9.8 | Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 5.5 |
| 2.0 | Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 1.5 |
| 45.0% | Possession 4 / 4 matches with data | 49.2% |
| 5.8 | Deep completions per match | 5.8 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.76 | xGA per match | 0.93 |
| 19.5 | Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 13.8 |
| 12.5 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 7.5 |
| 3.5 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 0.8 |
| 12.4 | Deep completions allowed per match | 3.4 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 25.6 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 25.2 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Rayo Vallecano 4
- Andrei Ratiu Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Augusto Batalla Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Luiz Felipe Injury Out for the season
- Randy Nteka Injury Expected back early November 2026
Celta Vigo 6
- Álvaro Núñez Injury Expected back late November 2026
- Borja Iglesias Injury Expected back late November 2026
- Carl Starfelt Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Jones El-Abdellaoui Injury Expected back mid January 2027
- Miguel Román Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Pablo Durán Injury Expected back early November 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.