Real Betis vs Málaga

Real Betis vs Málaga: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence La Liga Insight date · 2026-10-23 2026-10-31 ~ 2026-10-31

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Real Betis lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Real Betis +0.68, Málaga -1.34.
  • Points per game over the last five: Real Betis 2.00, Málaga 0.40.
  • Attack: Real Betis xG per match 2.34, 17.0 shots, 3.6 big chances created; Málaga xG per match 0.84, 12.0 shots, 0.8 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Real Betis 1.65, Málaga 2.17; shots on target faced 10.2 vs 10.6, big chances faced 2.4 vs 3.2.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge

Real Betis

Points per game 2.00 vs 0.40 · Edge 80.0%
Big chances created per match 3.6 vs 0.8 · Edge 77.8%
xG per match 2.34 vs 0.84 · Edge 64.3%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge

Málaga

No clear edge in the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Real Betis Metric Málaga
Results
2.00 Points per game 0.40
2.20 Goals per match 1.00
1.80 Goals conceded per match 2.20
1.77 Expected points per game 0.65
Attack
2.34 xG per match 0.84
17.0 Shots per match 12.0
12.6 Shots on target per match 6.8
3.6 Big chances created per match 0.8
50.6% Possession 50.0%
7.2 Deep completions per match 6.2
Defence
1.65 xGA per match 2.17
15.2 Shots faced per match 16.6
10.2 Shots on target faced per match 10.6
2.4 Big chances faced per match 3.2
6.2 Deep completions allowed per match 9.8
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
18.8 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 17.4

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Real Betis 2

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Juan Hernández Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Junior Firpo Injury Expected back early November 2026

Málaga 5

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Aarón Ochoa Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Diego Murillo Injury Expected back early January 2027
  • Joaquín Muñoz Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Juan Cruz Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Julen Lobete Injury Out for the season

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.