Freiburg vs Bayern Munich: what the data says
What is worth noting before kickoff?
What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Bayern Munich lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Freiburg +0.75, Bayern Munich +2.86.
- Points per game over the last five: Freiburg 2.00, Bayern Munich 2.20.
- Attack: Freiburg xG per match 1.82, 14.0 shots, 3.8 big chances created; Bayern Munich xG per match 3.75, 25.5 shots, 6.0 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Freiburg 1.06, Bayern Munich 0.88; shots on target faced 5.8 vs 5.0, big chances faced 1.0 vs 1.2.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Big chances faced per match
1.0
vs 1.2
· Edge 20.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
xG per match
3.75
vs 1.82
· Edge 51.5%
Shots on target per match
18.0
vs 9.2
· Edge 48.6%
Shots per match
25.5
vs 14.0
· Edge 45.1%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Freiburg
|
Metric |
Bayern Munich
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 2.00 | Points per game | 2.20 |
| 2.20 | Goals per match | 3.40 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per match | 0.80 |
| 1.93 | Expected points per game | 2.77 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.82 | xG per match | 3.75 |
| 14.0 | Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 25.5 |
| 9.2 | Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 18.0 |
| 3.8 | Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 6.0 |
| 51.0% | Possession 4 / 4 matches with data | 71.8% |
| 5.8 | Deep completions per match | 19.6 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.06 | xGA per match | 0.88 |
| 9.0 | Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 8.2 |
| 5.8 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 5.0 |
| 1.0 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 1.2 |
| 7.0 | Deep completions allowed per match | 3.2 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 20.0 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 27.4 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Freiburg 1
- Florent Muslija Injury Expected back late December 2026
Bayern Munich 1
- Jamal Musiala Injury Expected return: A few weeks
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.