Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Bundesliga Insight date · 2026-10-23 2026-10-31 ~ 2026-10-31

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Bayer Leverkusen lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Bayer Leverkusen +1.31, Stuttgart +0.08.
  • Points per game over the last five: Bayer Leverkusen 2.60, Stuttgart 1.20.
  • Attack: Bayer Leverkusen xG per match 2.39, 19.4 shots, 3.8 big chances created; Stuttgart xG per match 2.42, 20.2 shots, 5.2 big chances created. Bayer Leverkusen have the better conversion (2.80 vs 1.40).
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Bayer Leverkusen 1.08, Stuttgart 2.34; shots on target faced 5.8 vs 9.5, big chances faced 1.6 vs 4.2.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Big chances faced per match 1.6 vs 4.2 · Edge 62.4%
Points per game 2.60 vs 1.20 · Edge 53.8%
xGA per match 1.08 vs 2.34 · Edge 53.8%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Big chances created per match 5.2 vs 3.8 · Edge 27.6%
Goals conceded per match 1.00 vs 1.20 · Edge 16.7%
Shots on target per match 12.2 vs 11.6 · Edge 5.3%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Bayer Leverkusen Metric Stuttgart
Results
2.60 Points per game 1.20
2.80 Goals per match 1.40
1.20 Goals conceded per match 1.00
2.16 Expected points per game 1.42
Attack
2.39 xG per match 2.42
19.4 Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data 20.2
11.6 Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data 12.2
3.8 Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data 5.2
56.0% Possession 5 / 4 matches with data 57.2%
12.6 Deep completions per match 8.2
Defence
1.08 xGA per match 2.34
11.8 Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 18.8
5.8 Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 9.5
1.6 Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 4.2
4.4 Deep completions allowed per match 8.2
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
18.8 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 20.8

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Bayer Leverkusen 6

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Christian Kofane Injury Expected return: A few weeks
  • Eliesse Ben Seghir Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
  • Guéla Doué Injury Expected return: A few weeks
  • Kennet Eichhorn Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Martin Terrier Injury Expected back early December 2026
  • Montrell Culbreath Injury Expected back late October 2026

Stuttgart 4

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Dan-Axel Zagadou Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Josha Vagnoman Injury Doubtful
  • Justin Diehl Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Tiago Tomás Injury Expected back late October 2026

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.