Borussia M.Gladbach vs Paderborn

Borussia M.Gladbach vs Paderborn: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Bundesliga Insight date · 2026-10-23 2026-10-31 ~ 2026-10-31

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Borussia M.Gladbach have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Paderborn have taken more points recently.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Borussia M.Gladbach -0.86, Paderborn -1.08.
  • Points per game over the last five: Borussia M.Gladbach 0.00, Paderborn 0.80, opposite to the underlying signal.
  • Attack: Borussia M.Gladbach xG per match 1.61, 13.8 shots, 1.8 big chances created; Paderborn xG per match 1.17, 14.4 shots, 2.0 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Borussia M.Gladbach 2.47, Paderborn 2.25; shots on target faced 11.0 vs 13.2, big chances faced 4.0 vs 4.4.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge

Borussia M.Gladbach

Goals per match 1.60 vs 1.00 · Edge 37.5%
xG per match 1.61 vs 1.17 · Edge 27.3%
Shots on target per match 9.8 vs 7.8 · Edge 20.0%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge

Paderborn

Points per game 0.80 vs 0.00 · Edge 100.0%
Goals conceded per match 1.80 vs 3.40 · Edge 47.1%
Big chances created per match 2.0 vs 1.8 · Edge 12.5%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Borussia M.Gladbach Metric Paderborn
Results
0.00 Points per game 0.80
1.60 Goals per match 1.00
3.40 Goals conceded per match 1.80
0.80 Expected points per game 0.78
Attack
1.61 xG per match 1.17
13.8 Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data 14.4
9.8 Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data 7.8
1.8 Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data 2.0
47.5% Possession 4 / 5 matches with data 45.8%
6.2 Deep completions per match 6.6
Defence
2.47 xGA per match 2.25
16.5 Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 17.8
11.0 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 13.2
4.0 Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 4.4
6.8 Deep completions allowed per match 13.6
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
21.0 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 22.8

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Borussia M.Gladbach 9

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Enzo Leopold Injury Expected back late May 2027
  • Franck Honorat Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
  • Fritz Fleck Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
  • Isac Lidberg Injury Doubtful
  • Jan Leszczynski Injury Expected back early December 2026
  • Jens Castrop Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Ko Itakura Injury Doubtful
  • Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn Injury Doubtful
  • Tim Kleindienst Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks

Paderborn 5

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Marcel Hoffmeier Injury Expected return: A few weeks
  • Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Oliver Batista Meier Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Sebastian Klaas Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Timur Gayret Injury Expected back early January 2027

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.