Union Berlin vs FC Cologne: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Bundesliga Insight date · 2026-10-23 2026-11-01 ~ 2026-11-01

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

FC Cologne have the stronger underlying attack/defence.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Union Berlin -1.44, FC Cologne +0.02.
  • Attack: Union Berlin xG per match 0.96, 13.8 shots, 1.2 big chances created; FC Cologne xG per match 1.84, 15.0 shots, 2.5 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Union Berlin 2.40, FC Cologne 1.82; shots on target faced 8.8 vs 11.5, big chances faced 3.2 vs 3.0.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Shots on target faced per match 8.8 vs 11.5 · Edge 23.9%
Shots faced per match 14.2 vs 17.0 · Edge 16.2%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Goals per match 1.00 vs 0.40 · Edge 60.0%
Big chances created per match 2.5 vs 1.2 · Edge 50.0%
xG per match 1.84 vs 0.96 · Edge 47.7%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Union Berlin Metric FC Cologne
Results
0.80 Points per game 0.80
0.40 Goals per match 1.00
2.80 Goals conceded per match 1.80
0.84 Expected points per game 1.41
Attack
0.96 xG per match 1.84
13.8 Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data 15.0
8.0 Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data 8.8
1.2 Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data 2.5
45.8% Possession 4 / 4 matches with data 45.2%
4.0 Deep completions per match 6.6
Defence
2.40 xGA per match 1.82
14.2 Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 17.0
8.8 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 11.5
3.2 Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 3.0
12.8 Deep completions allowed per match 7.4
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
20.2 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 19.6

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Union Berlin 5

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Andrej Ilić Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Andrik Markgraf Injury Expected back early March 2027
  • Josip Juranović Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
  • Marvin Friedrich Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Stanley N'Soki Injury Expected back late October 2026

FC Cologne 7

Snapshot · 2026-10-22

  • Ellyes Skhiri Injury Expected back early January 2027
  • Imad Rondić Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Joël Schmied Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Ragnar Ache Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
  • Rav van den Berg Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
  • Thijs Dallinga Injury Expected back late June 2027
  • Timo Hübers Injury Expected back early January 2027

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.