What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Lille lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Monaco -0.64, Lille +0.30.
- Points per game over the last five: Monaco 1.60, Lille 2.00.
- Attack: Monaco xG per match 0.93, 12.0 shots, 0.8 big chances created; Lille xG per match 1.68, 13.4 shots, 2.8 big chances created. Monaco have the better conversion (1.40 vs 1.20).
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Monaco 1.56, Lille 1.38; shots on target faced 8.2 vs 6.2, big chances faced 2.2 vs 2.0.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Goals per match
1.40
vs 1.20
· Edge 14.3%
Shots faced per match
13.2
vs 13.4
· Edge 1.1%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Big chances created per match
2.8
vs 0.8
· Edge 73.2%
Goals conceded per match
0.60
vs 1.20
· Edge 50.0%
xG per match
1.68
vs 0.93
· Edge 44.9%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Monaco
|
Metric |
Lille
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.60 | Points per game | 2.00 |
| 1.40 | Goals per match | 1.20 |
| 1.20 | Goals conceded per match | 0.60 |
| 0.89 | Expected points per game | 1.68 |
| Attack | ||
| 0.93 | xG per match | 1.68 |
| 12.0 | Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 13.4 |
| 6.5 | Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 8.2 |
| 0.8 | Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 2.8 |
| 51.0% | Possession 4 / 5 matches with data | 56.4% |
| 6.4 | Deep completions per match | 9.2 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.56 | xGA per match | 1.38 |
| 13.2 | Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 13.4 |
| 8.2 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 6.2 |
| 2.2 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 2.0 |
| 7.0 | Deep completions allowed per match | 5.6 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 26.2 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 23.2 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Monaco 2
- Eric Dier Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Stanis Idumbo Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
Lille 4
- Ayase Ueda Injury Expected return: A few weeks
- Hamza Igamane Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Osame Sahraoui Injury Expected back in about a week
- Tiago Santos Injury Expected back late June 2027
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.