What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Bologna have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Cagliari have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Cagliari -1.02, Bologna -0.44.
- Points per game over the last five: Cagliari 2.00, Bologna 1.00, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Cagliari xG per match 1.00, 9.8 shots, 1.2 big chances created; Bologna xG per match 1.53, 11.8 shots, 3.0 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Cagliari 2.02, Bologna 1.97; shots on target faced 11.8 vs 11.2, big chances faced 2.8 vs 3.8.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Goals conceded per match
0.60
vs 1.60
· Edge 62.5%
Points per game
2.00
vs 1.00
· Edge 50.0%
Big chances faced per match
2.8
vs 3.8
· Edge 26.7%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Big chances created per match
3.0
vs 1.2
· Edge 58.3%
xG per match
1.53
vs 1.00
· Edge 34.5%
Shots faced per match
16.2
vs 21.2
· Edge 23.5%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Cagliari
|
Metric |
Bologna
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 2.00 | Points per game | 1.00 |
| 1.00 | Goals per match | 1.20 |
| 0.60 | Goals conceded per match | 1.60 |
| 0.90 | Expected points per game | 1.14 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.00 | xG per match | 1.53 |
| 9.8 | Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 11.8 |
| 5.8 | Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 6.8 |
| 1.2 | Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 3.0 |
| 36.0% | Possession 4 / 4 matches with data | 45.5% |
| 1.8 | Deep completions per match | 4.4 |
| Defence | ||
| 2.02 | xGA per match | 1.97 |
| 21.2 | Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 16.2 |
| 11.8 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 11.2 |
| 2.8 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 3.8 |
| 12.6 | Deep completions allowed per match | 10.0 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 14.0 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 17.6 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Cagliari 3
- Mattia Felici Injury Out for the season
- Riyad Idrissi Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Yael Trepy Injury Doubtful
Bologna 3
- Emil Holm Injury Expected back late February 2027
- Riccardo Orsolini Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Roberto Piccoli Injury Expected back early November 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.