What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Juventus have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Lecce have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Lecce -0.38, Juventus +0.92.
- Points per game over the last five: Lecce 1.20, Juventus 1.00, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Lecce xG per match 1.64, 11.8 shots, 2.8 big chances created; Juventus xG per match 1.55, 15.6 shots, 2.4 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Lecce 2.01, Juventus 0.63; shots on target faced 9.6 vs 4.6, big chances faced 3.4 vs 1.0.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Points per game
1.20
vs 1.00
· Edge 16.7%
Goals per match
1.40
vs 1.20
· Edge 14.3%
Big chances created per match
2.8
vs 2.4
· Edge 14.3%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Big chances faced per match
1.0
vs 3.4
· Edge 70.6%
xGA per match
0.63
vs 2.01
· Edge 68.5%
Shots on target faced per match
4.6
vs 9.6
· Edge 52.1%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
|
|
Metric |
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.20 | Points per game | 1.00 |
| 1.40 | Goals per match | 1.20 |
| 1.60 | Goals conceded per match | 1.60 |
| 0.97 | Expected points per game | 2.07 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.64 | xG per match | 1.55 |
| 11.8 | Shots per match | 15.6 |
| 7.8 | Shots on target per match | 10.0 |
| 2.8 | Big chances created per match | 2.4 |
| 43.6% | Possession | 57.8% |
| 5.2 | Deep completions per match | 8.4 |
| Defence | ||
| 2.01 | xGA per match | 0.63 |
| 14.6 | Shots faced per match | 7.4 |
| 9.6 | Shots on target faced per match | 4.6 |
| 3.4 | Big chances faced per match | 1.0 |
| 4.8 | Deep completions allowed per match | 3.6 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 28.2 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 23.6 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Lecce 3
- Ivan Ilic Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Lassana Coulibaly Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Medon Berisha Injury Expected back early November 2026
Juventus 6
- Francisco Conceição Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Jeff Ekhator Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Kamil Grabara Injury Out for the season
- Kenan Yıldız Injury Expected back early December 2026
- Khéphren Thuram-Ulien Injury Expected back mid January 2027
- Manuel Locatelli Injury Expected back late March 2027
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.